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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. gfs/euro meanwhile are cutter>cold/dry>warm up> wet cutter>cold and dry >warm up> wet cutter. Preview of winter?
  2. Picked up .65" yesterday and overnight. Lost power for a time too with winds. Definitely were some 40 mph+ gusts around here.
  3. .3" total yesterday for a storm total of 2.5". Delaware River was running higher than normal this morning. Looks like most gauges are forecasted to touch minor flood stage. Pretty impressive despite how dry overall it's been the last 6 weeks.
  4. the GOES 16 visible has been a beaut to watch this afternoon https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-eastcoast-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  5. 2010 -2011 was a great winter in these parts. Pretty much a snow blitz from mid december through the end of january with 2 MECS, one of those a borderline HECS(boxing day) followed by an early spring. Pretty much my ideal winter imo.
  6. Warm october's have a pretty good correlation to late november/december cold. I'll tolerate the warmer weather the next few weeks to get a shot at some early winter action. The Dec. 5 storms seem like ages ago. It'd be cool to get a solid early december snowstorm this year. A winter like 2010-2011 would be good in my book.
  7. Imagine talking shit after getting curb stomped by the BENGALS @ home. THE BENGALS! Didn't the Steelers have playoff aspirations this year?? I bet Heinz field is half empty by the end of the year if they keep that up.
  8. This would never happen but I wish the owner would just say **** you to him and make him sit out 4 years of his prime. **** Ben Simmons, biggest bitch of all time.
  9. 1.65" now after a few bands have rolled through, maybe some more heading this way down south. Honestly didn't expect it to linger this long into the night. It's been mostly showers/mist pretty much all evening since the heavy band pushed through around 4.
  10. Finished with 1.45". I think this was the first significant rain we've had since Ida.
  11. 1.1" over the last 45 mins. Still coming down pretty good. Will probably get to 1.5" would be my guess. Miserable drive from Trenton to Levittown. It blows my mind how many people drive with their lights off during heavy rain...
  12. .45" of rain overnight. Tapering off now. Looks like the showers hang around all day though.
  13. Looks like the line is beginning to fizzle out now before it hits 95. Not nearly as intense as it was 30 mins ago.
  14. Timing on this one seems pretty poor but with the dynamics in place it may not matter much. The CAMs are pretty hit and miss in the overnight hours. N and W definitely has the best chance, it remains to be seen if the convection holds together for the 95 area overnight. The models that hold it together don't have it pushing through until after midnight. Lehigh valley looks to get slammed though in the 9 pm - 11 pm range. Line is still well off to the west right now.
  15. Thankfully the next week or so looks mostly dry. Maybe a chance of showers on Sun/Mon and then again on Thursday but no widespread heavy precip on either of those days. Unfortunately, it looks like the ridge builds back in around mid month and the warm/wet pattern may pick back up. As we just now are entering peak Tropical season, I won't be surprised at all if Ida isn't the last tropical event that we see this year. The long range of the GFS and Euro both show multiple tropical systems brewing.
  16. It's a stone cold lock it's being retired on landfall alone. Almost every high end cat 4 landfall is retired. This just put the icing on the cake.
  17. Got down to 55 last night. Beautiful morning.
  18. That was the attitude of my father yesterday(who also lives in Levittown) when I called him telling him and my mom to take shelter asap. I had to literally tell him it was confirmed at the bridge for him to take it seriously even though there was a tornado emergency warning. I think it's a pretty common for people to ignore the warnings around here because while tornado warnings aren't that rare around here, actual violent tornados don't typically happen from them. We've seen several now this summer. Great pics btw, very sobering.
  19. Going to check out the Delaware by Trenton in a hour or so. I'll try and take some pics on top of the levy in Morrisville if they will let me go up there.
  20. Beautiful morning. We got down to 58f. First feels like fall day.
  21. Back edge will probably be through around midnight but looks like the heavy stuff has just about ended. 5.6" on the event, may see another .1 or .2 before it's over, don't think we'll hit 6. Hope I can get to work in Trenton tomorrow or hope Murphy closes the state. Can't believe the Delaware river is already flooding, won't be surprised if it crests higher than predicted.
  22. Over an inch in the last 30 mins and still pouring. Up to 5.1" on the event now. My guess is we are seeing flash flooding in the area but not venturing outside to find out.
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