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The Iceman

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  1. The Iceman
    long range forecast based on the GEFS/EPS, cool down next week then I see another warm up towards the end of the month before a cool and dreary april. Heights start to build over Scandy late month and retro towards greenland by the end of March. April is at least going to start blocky imo.
  2. The Iceman
    the wrf-arw and arw2 both show it too... me personally I think it's cracked out. we'll see though. Would be pretty cool just to see flakes after it being 80 today.
  3. The Iceman
    timing is bad for most of the area imo, area's out west might get some wind damage though
  4. The Iceman
    The didn’t hit 80 in feb 2018? I think it was 2018. One of the feb in the late 2010’s tha completely torched. I swear they hit 80.
  5. The Iceman
    We finally hit 70! High of 72 here, nice day of false spring. Going to be hilarious when it gets cold again next weekend. Soak in the next 3 days because spring is looking toast after that for a bit.
  6. The Iceman
    Clouds breaking, sun is shining now and quickly up 65F. I think we make a run at 70 today
  7. The Iceman
    You realize that’s perfectly possible with a back door cold front right? ENE wind off the ocean. Somehow I doubt Vermont is seeing a heavy marine influence
  8. The Iceman
    Glad I didn’t book a tee time tomorrow last Monday. Would have been a cold one
  9. The Iceman
    I just heard thunder! It’s officially spring!
  10. The Iceman
    No snow in October or November, it got above freezing on Christmas, 0 polar bear sightings and we didn’t even get a lake effect event. Final Grade C -, maybe next winter will deliver
  11. The Iceman
    C winter at best. We didn’t get 80” of snow, it got above 50 that one day in January, and it rained today. It wasn’t the winter Jay’s Peak, VT experiences so it’s trash honestly.
  12. The Iceman
    GFS is hilarious, we get back door cold fronted this entire weekend now. First truly warm day isn't until Tuesday then we get backdoored again on Wednesday. Watch us not even hit 70 on this stretch now lol
  13. The Iceman
    I believe you said 70 by March 1st. It was in the 40's that day FYI. I'm skeptical we hit 70 even this weekend but we shall see, you may end up being right that it gets warmer in spring, gutsy call and all.. no one said 2 snow events you again are putting words in peoples mouths. Heisy is highlighting a period of possible interest not saying there's going to be 2 snowstorms. It snows on average 1/4 March's here, deal with it.
  14. The Iceman
    Nope it has never snowed here in late March, never happens
  15. The Iceman
    Next two weeks are looking more wet than anything else. Drought is going to be busted by mid month. You can tell the pacific and gulf moisture feed aimed at our area on the ensembles. I’d expect 2-3 1”+ qpf events in the next 2 weeks.
  16. The Iceman
    Damn I missed the snow or sleet to start. Or it was just rain the entire time
  17. The Iceman
    Shocker with the water temps. I know people want the warmth, I’m among them, but it’s going to be a struggle to see serious sustained warmth.
  18. The Iceman
    Probably the last night or two with partial snow cover. Remarkable that we’ve had cover since 1/16. 45 days. Highly unlikely we make 50 with the rain and temps the next few days but still a month and a half straight of snow cover here. Another rarity around here.
  19. The Iceman
    Next winter will be normal and we’ll have to hear how much it sucks all year
  20. The Iceman
    lol that is a near impossible standard for this area… 2009-2010 was only an A winter too by that standard fyi
  21. The Iceman
    Just under an inch here, enough to break 50” on the season
  22. The Iceman
    I found this https://x.com/weathernut27/status/2026288350034866589?s=46&t=HjhTZpQDb4qolHVJRtuc7w this one too https://x.com/burgwx/status/2025949013082583284?s=46&t=HjhTZpQDb4qolHVJRtuc7w
  23. The Iceman
    That March 2nd-3rd thing is looking like the last threat for winter. 2nd week of March 500 MB on the long range ensembles argues for true warmth not just slightly above normal. That is if we don't get can kicked again as this was showing up long range last month too.
  24. The Iceman
    above average snowfall each month dec-Jan-Feb has only happened in like one or two other winters other than this one, we were just talking about that last week.
  25. The Iceman
    Yesterday’s storm makes this seasons total 49.3” #3 in my lifetime(1990-1991 was my first winter) behind 2010 and 1996. Both are out of reach but still this winter’s snowfall ranks ahead of many greats like 17-18, 13-14, 10-11, 02-03 in Levittown. edit: actually if the gfs comes to fruition we’d make a run at 2009-2010 here. That winter finished with 63.2” here. edit 2: looking at my dads records back to 1977, this season ranks #4. 77-78 we had 57”.
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