The Iceman

I think mt holly is spot on, 10 to 16” in SE PA seems right. 16-24” in Jersey with largest totals towards the coast.

Winter storm warning for 10-16” in my backyard, can’t wait to see the map in the morning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 PAZ070-071-101>106-212100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1200Z-260223T2300Z/ Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Doylestown, Morrisville, Kennett Square, Pottstown, West Chester, Oxford, Norristown, Media, Philadelphia, Collegeville, Chalfont, Perkasie, Lansdale, and Honey Brook 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour. Locally higher snowfall amounts possible. Blowing and drifting of snow, and whiteout conditions possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

6z nam seems ok to me but I also just woke up to pee Image

Go to bed Ralph lol

That’s awesome, no sun angle to worry about, should get max ratios. Every good weenie has a snow light in their yard.

I’m out, I can handle a standard 4-8” storm, it’d be disappointing but still a win. A complete whiff like 01 though, I’d be done with this hobby for awhile…

What the fuck NAM did you look at?

King GFS is how. It was mocked all winter, this is its revenge

Image Final total;

Motherofgod.jpeg

clear trend…

How’s 70+ the first week of march looking? Asking for a friend.

Sunday afternoon into Monday

I thought DT said no storm, what changed?

wrong per usual.

Latest NBM

Short answer, it’s closed off 500 MB low in about as perfect a spot as you want.

Unreal Community

I thought it was a clear shift towards the GFS regardless of the surface. Still that's a warning level event for most. If the euro is the minimum, i'd still take.

That’s another significant tick west by the euro ai. And that’s a model that doesn’t really bounce around…. Clear trend now imo.

That's a massive shift, the UKIE was the furthest east of all guidance previously IRC

Good thing we aren't in the MA dude, but perhaps you should just stay there.

America vs Euro's(and Canada) at the moment...I know who I'm rooting for. USA! USA! USA! CMC is still a grazing...

GFS is like 30 hours of snow for 95 E... This should be the final totals

still snowing...