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The Iceman

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  1. The Iceman
    the great winters tip their hands usually early. Not saying we can’t get to normal but remarkable comeback great seasons like 17-18 are far and few between. I’ll be pretty surprised if we don’t see a sustained above normal period this winter and the pattern on the other models is how we’d roll into it imo. Overall largely striking out during our favorable period when we only see two maybe three favorable periods if we are lucky in a winter would just not be a good sign just my opinion. If we reel in this weekend with a nice 6-12” storm well then most will be well above normal on the year and we won’t be as reliant on the next favorable period to get to above normal.
  2. The Iceman
    Welcome to Philly, all you need to know is Go Birds and you’ll get on just fine around these parts
  3. The Iceman
    It’s tough that band that went over me and got me to 2” created a dry/light slot over the city. No way that could have been forecasted. If that band hits the city they are at 3” maybe more and the warning is closer to verifying. Given the temps and the timing I understand why they issued it. Potential was there.
  4. The Iceman
    Definitely. My mother lives right down the street and she called me in a panic last night asking if she needed to go to Walmart to stock up before the snow and I was like uhhhh it’s only going to be 1-3” tops chill out lol I don’t have cable so I never really watch the local news but I know that’s where she must have gotten the idea it was going to be bad. I always just follow mt Holly, they rarely steer me wrong in snow events. This was another well forecasted storm they trended amounts downward as we got closer and it was definitely correct.
  5. The Iceman
    Yeah that’s why I said in the other thread we really need to reel in this weekend and that the GFS is onto something if this winter has any hopes of being above average imo
  6. The Iceman
    More like 2-4” if that. Guidance was really keen on most of se pa seeing 1-3” tops by the end and it was correct. There were maybe a model or two that showed s pa into philly in the 3-5” range but the final href was 2-4” most of extreme se pa 1-2” north of that and that seems to have been pretty on point albeit on the low end.
  7. The Iceman
    We got a really nice band between 10 and 11:30 am that put down over an inch. The other .8” or so fell from 7-10 and then 11:30-1. Overall not bad. 5.5” on the season. If we can reel in this weekend, we could be cooking with gas this winter.
  8. The Iceman
    Just measured 2” in Levittown. Winding down now. Vast majority fell between 9:30 and 12:30.
  9. The Iceman
    Crazy, i know nobody is expecting any snow so even 1-3" will catch a lot of people off guard.
  10. The Iceman
    I think one of those March 2018 bombs were WSW's for everyone but it could have been rain at the coast, I don't remember.
  11. The Iceman
    Agreed. I really like where we sit right now, thinking this has a terrific shot at being a region wide warning event.
  12. The Iceman
    .5” snow and sleet this morning. Roads were awful this morning at least by me. 3” on the year now.
  13. The Iceman
    Made it down to 6F last night
  14. The Iceman
    2.5” in Levittown, way exceeded expectations
  15. The Iceman
    Driving back from Philly was a nightmare looks to be around 2” out there. Pleasant surprise. Should stick around all weekend too!
  16. The Iceman
    95 jackpot for the ivt? Wasn’t the peak supposed to be 9-2 am tonight? Radar looks great. I’m in Philly and it’s coming down pretty hard. Ground was covered in lower bucks when I left.
  17. The Iceman
    Coming down surprisingly hard in lower bucks. Grass and colder surfaces beginning to cave. Didn’t expect anything this early. Maybe we squeeze out an inch or two?
  18. The Iceman
    Not expecting anything more than flurries
  19. The Iceman
    I would take anything measurable.. because right now we are tracking to finish below normal on the month temp wise with 0 snow.
  20. The Iceman
    We have snow in Levittown.
  21. The Iceman
    Wait wasn’t 2013-14 mostly clippers or am I misremembering that.
  22. The Iceman
    Flakes occasionally mixing in at Trenton but mostly rain. At least I saw snow lol
  23. The Iceman
    .85" overnight and this morning. People were driving like they've never seen rain before this morning.
  24. The Iceman
    100%, anything amped is going to be a mixed bag or cold rain for those of us in the coastal plain/95 potentially even further NW. would be prolific storm for central pa and the poconos. Weaker wave that slides underneath won’t be as prolific of a snowmaker but would be a nice region wide 2-4/3-6” storm for most.
  25. The Iceman
    squall line overnight? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2024112018/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_11.png
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