The Iceman

NAVGEM is usually a suppressed model so the fact it’s amped and closer to the coast is a red flag. Pretty sure I got that from the @Ralph Wiggumweenie handbook. UKMET is a solid hit here so is the CMC. Should get good ratios with any snow as well.

I’d fire everyone besides Big Dom and Stoutland. Maybe keep the special teams guy too.

Not sure shoveling was the best idea, now there’s a glaze of ice over everything. Heavier echoes have mixed in sleet but overall just light freezing rain, cars and other non treated surfaces are beginning to become encased in ice.

2.8” here in Levittown. Have had freezing rain the last hour or so. 27F.

1.8” in Levittown at midnight. May be closing in on 2” now but not going outside to check. 3 or 4” definitely seems manageable. All roads treated or not are snow covered around here. Definitely seems colder than was modeled.

Coating of pixie dust over all surfaces with very light snow currently. Any heavier echoes later on should accumulate quickly. Temp down to 26F. Radar looks good to our SW down in Baltimore and DC.

Light flurries have begun, surprised we didn’t have fight virga. 29F/ DP 5F 37% humidity

Then why hype the storm up last night using the 10:1 map when the snow depth map then was basically the same as it is now? Nothing has really changed in the NAMs guidance, if anything it’s further S with the mix line than it was last night… it didn’t “back down”.

You’re posting the snow depth change map and not the 10:1 map you were using last night to say we got “NAM’d”. It’s essentially the same output as last night when you were hyping it up you’re just using a different map now to downplay things. Seriously check out the snow depth from 00z, nothing has changed from the NAM’s you’re just using a different product than you were using earlier…

My Holly’s latest call: Pretty much in line what I think: 2-4” 95 corridor possibly ending as freezing rain or sleet. 3-5” in the NW burbs all snow. 1-3” S and E of 95 changing over eventually to a mix and dry slot. Should be a nice little event for all. I mean even if some of the other guidance is right about dry slot/mixing 2” should have already fallen at least which would be the biggest event in 2 years. I think this should be a everyone takes storm after 2 years…

3k nam would actually be awesome here… 4” of snow with .05-.1” of freezing rain to get a nice glacier in place. Starting to get a little excited now…. Would be a nice hopefully appetizer to get on the board this year. Right now I’m at .2”…

My Holly first call:

Lol why would anyone even bother looking at the GFS past 84…

"whichever model shows the least amount of snow, go with that" tends to pan out more often than not.

cool so anywhere between 0"-9".

Last time we had this 6 days out, it trended north over the coming days and LV got their solid storm. Watch this one do the opposite and it trends south so SNJ and DE get hit while 95 gets left high and dry. I'm half expecting it tbh.

You can be a fan and acknowledge that this team fucking blows. Expect a quick exit next week with baker mayfield throwing for 400+. I think the entire coaching staff, Sirianni included, needs to be overhauled. If they don’t completely overhaul the staff, they are going to ruin another qb after giving him a huge contract and will be under .500 for years to come. I don’t know how they can even rebuild or retool the roster with their cap situation so they need to completely retool the staff. Otherwise there is going to be nothing but pain going forward. Really hope Kelce retires… this teams window is shut for years to come.

My area isn’t even supposed to get below freezing though. We don’t have a WWA. It’s going to be above freezing when precip starts and won’t fall below freezing until Sunday night. Complete waste of money and resources in the 95 area.

Salt trucks out in full force this morning for what should be 99% rain here. Guessing the municipalities and pendot are itching to use some of their excess stock from the last 2+ years… what a waste though.

This pretty much has been a shut the blinds look and it looks to continue until at least MLK day at least for the coastal plain. I never bought in to this storm for 95 and burbs because the issues with cold air were pretty apparent even when it was showing snow in the MR. I expect most of the LV to be disappointed as well if they are anticipating a warning level event. 2-4” will be much more common than 4-8” with much more mixing than they currently expect. Poconos should do well though. Now if the block gets as strong as the models are indicating, I honestly expect we get a cold/dry pattern with a southern snowstorm or 2 before we see anything significant. I think late month coming out of the block offers our best potential. Unfortunately this winter is looking more 2016 than 2002.

Still has nothing-burger written all over it for 95 areas imo. 10-15 miles N and W of should get a decent 3-6”. I’ll be surprised if we see an inch here though.

Expecting nothing but cold rain. Good luck n and w folks.

surface temps are like in the lower 40's that's why.

Only 372 hours out! The big ones are sniffed out early

Kind of related, my dad put down a fall blend grass seed wayyyy later than he should have, like the week before thanksgiving and I was giving him shit about it saying there's no way in hell that you're getting anything to sprout. Stopped by yesterday and sure enough there were a few spots that actually sprouted under the hay...