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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    Was wondering that myself, thank you for clarifying! Unbelievable how bullish the NBM is right now. The NBM is a blend of the GFS/GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and euro/euro ensembles correct?
  2. The Iceman
    This is including the next weekend storm too... but yeah "Gigiddy".
  3. The Iceman
    It had the low end for me(TTN area) at 10" and the high end at 23". 50% chance of 18" or more... I have to think both go down next briefing but who knows. That was extremely bullish though I agree.
  4. The Iceman
    pretty impressive this is still so high.. Isn't the NBM a blend of the GFS, GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and Euro/euro ensembles?
  5. The Iceman
    I've seen this movie before... GFS being the coldest solution rarely works out, but this airmass is super cold... I still think we see a lot of sleet at least in the 95 corridor. Good thing is the NAM puts down 8-12" of snow before that.
  6. The Iceman
    First call: 3-6” snow/sleet/ice shore points extreme snj 6-12” snow/sleet 95/195 corridor to SNJ 8-16” snow/sleet N and W of the fall line.
  7. The Iceman
    Extremely bullish briefing by mt holly. Wow. https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
  8. The Iceman
    Euro also 8-12” then ice. Looking good! Time for bed. First call coming in the morning
  9. The Iceman
    UKie also a solid hit 8-12”+ ending as light sleet.
  10. The Iceman
    If the CMC is the floor, sign me up. Still a 6-12” storm with significant sleet. Followed by the temps, it’ll be a glacier.
  11. The Iceman
    It’s way weaker with the high pressure and weakens it significantly more than the GFS that’s a big difference.
  12. The Iceman
    Still driving the primary further and further west. As long as the uk and euro don’t slide that way, it’s still ok. Even the cmc is still 6” thump followed by sleet and probably ending as snow. Far from a disappointment
  13. The Iceman
    Yeah it’s ok I guess(still snowing) edit final totals below, that’s a beautiful run. Long duration MECS no mixing for most. Lock it in.
  14. The Iceman
    GFS is going to be drooling worthy. Long duration, snowing 24 hours at hour 102 and no signs of letting up. Can’t wait to see the clown maps.
  15. The Iceman
    Gfs only out to 90 but it looks like it’s also going to be a massive hit. I don’t know that we even see mixing issues save for the coast?
  16. The Iceman
    A beer will do brother. to keep this weather related, icon is a massive hit. Probably a little mixing but still a foot + for almost everyone.
  17. The Iceman
    NAM at 84 looks great, too bad it’s the NAM at 84. Several positive changes. Stronger high pressure for one.
  18. The Iceman
    Time to brew some coffee and smoke a joint before the 00z suite rolls in, I suggest others do the same
  19. The Iceman
    10th percentile eps, this should calm some nerves
  20. The Iceman
    21z NBM from the MA thread
  21. The Iceman
    Leave it to the GFS to swerve south while everyone else ticks N lol
  22. The Iceman
    It’s barely waffled the last few days either. Definitely N trend but not large shifts run to run. Definitely has been the most consistent at least. It was money last weekend.
  23. The Iceman
    Not sure if this has been posted yet, but great AFD by Mt Holly
  24. The Iceman
    Feb 2021 was like that too. Huge front end thump turning to sleet then ended as light snow. I know my total was over a foot, can't remember the exact amount at the moment.
  25. The Iceman
    Who are you? Btw “I hope it misses so it doesn’t ruin my plans” isn’t a forecast. I won’t derail the thread further though on some clueless troll.
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