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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    Trust the pro’s
  2. The Iceman
    Gfs isn’t alone, the NWS blend has also been showing big totals as well and pretty much all snow.
  3. The Iceman
    It has been nothing if not consistent. The blend has barely waffled the last 24 hours.
  4. The Iceman
    NAM is a crushing. This is all pre sleet https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2026012218/namconus_asnow_neus_27.png
  5. The Iceman
    In the pro's we trust!
  6. The Iceman
    @Ralph Wiggum Mt holly says conservative calls are for squares!
  7. The Iceman
    EPS still looking good...
  8. The Iceman
    Looking at some of the soundings, I just really question that would be freezing rain honestly. I don't see it. Temps are like 18-19F for most of the area and even the warmest levels are just barely above 0c,they aren't scorching. Looks more like sleet in my opinion.
  9. The Iceman
    I went to 4 different spots last night and couldn't find any. Ended up settling for pool salt at wal-mart(it does the same thing, just not as concentrated). 20 lb bag for like 9 bucks
  10. The Iceman
    I’ve personally never witnessed freezing rain with temps in the teens(may have happened in 94 i don’t know I was 3) but that’s what the euro shows. Yikes.
  11. The Iceman
    Euro is much drier, hopefully a blip. But significantly cuts back the thump by .2-.3 LE.
  12. The Iceman
    Was wondering that myself, thank you for clarifying! Unbelievable how bullish the NBM is right now. The NBM is a blend of the GFS/GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and euro/euro ensembles correct?
  13. The Iceman
    This is including the next weekend storm too... but yeah "Gigiddy".
  14. The Iceman
    It had the low end for me(TTN area) at 10" and the high end at 23". 50% chance of 18" or more... I have to think both go down next briefing but who knows. That was extremely bullish though I agree.
  15. The Iceman
    pretty impressive this is still so high.. Isn't the NBM a blend of the GFS, GFS ensembles, NAM nest, and Euro/euro ensembles?
  16. The Iceman
    I've seen this movie before... GFS being the coldest solution rarely works out, but this airmass is super cold... I still think we see a lot of sleet at least in the 95 corridor. Good thing is the NAM puts down 8-12" of snow before that.
  17. The Iceman
    First call: 3-6” snow/sleet/ice shore points extreme snj 6-12” snow/sleet 95/195 corridor to SNJ 8-16” snow/sleet N and W of the fall line.
  18. The Iceman
    Extremely bullish briefing by mt holly. Wow. https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
  19. The Iceman
    Euro also 8-12” then ice. Looking good! Time for bed. First call coming in the morning
  20. The Iceman
    UKie also a solid hit 8-12”+ ending as light sleet.
  21. The Iceman
    If the CMC is the floor, sign me up. Still a 6-12” storm with significant sleet. Followed by the temps, it’ll be a glacier.
  22. The Iceman
    It’s way weaker with the high pressure and weakens it significantly more than the GFS that’s a big difference.
  23. The Iceman
    Still driving the primary further and further west. As long as the uk and euro don’t slide that way, it’s still ok. Even the cmc is still 6” thump followed by sleet and probably ending as snow. Far from a disappointment
  24. The Iceman
    Yeah it’s ok I guess(still snowing) edit final totals below, that’s a beautiful run. Long duration MECS no mixing for most. Lock it in.
  25. The Iceman
    GFS is going to be drooling worthy. Long duration, snowing 24 hours at hour 102 and no signs of letting up. Can’t wait to see the clown maps.
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