The Iceman
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Everything posted by The Iceman
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My uncle in Live Oak said winds have started gusting 50-60 mph in the last 15 mins.
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Hope you’re right, lord knows we could use one after last year’s flaming pile of shit. I’m a little concerned about el nino being too strong and flooding the continent with warmth… but as long as that doesn’t occur we should do well. Nino winters typically are good in these parts.
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2.3” on the day after that last heavy shower.
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That area passed right over me, nothing ominous.
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90% chance of rain with 1-2” forecast = .02” of rain 30% chance of rain with .1” of rain forecast = 1.75” in 30 mins. It never fails!
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0.02 overnight… that flood watch was totally necessary…brutal forecasting by pretty much all outlets.
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Looks like most of the rain will slide to our NW barring any development. Mt Holly went from 1-2” for tonight this morning to .25-.5 in the evening forecast update. Will be shocked if we even get that. Guidance showed this exact scenario beginning last night. I bet the sprinkles we got 30 mins ago is going to be it. Should of watered the plants….big ole bustola incoming. At least it’s not a snowstorm…
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Not too bad here, maybe 35-40 mph winds tops. Heavy rain was the main feature. Thankful to be honest, really didn’t feel like messing with the generator tonight. Impressive temp drop behind the storm down to 70F. Feels great outside now.
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12z guidance really doesn't bring any further clarification for our area. There's still 2 distinct camps. The NAM and HRRR both weaken the convection before it gets to SE PA while some of the CAM's and RGEM bring a strong line through the area in the 6-10 PM range. Will be interesting to see which verifies.
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MT holly mentioned that there's concern that the stronger convection to the south of us robs potential convection to the north and I agree with that thinking. Guidance is currently split on whether intense convection makes it into the region later on. I think the bust potential is unusually high today.
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.70” in 10 minutes, 30-40 mph wind gusts. No thunder or lightning though. Feels great outside temp down to 78.
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Zero rain round one and round two will probably fall apart before it gets here. Story of the summer…sitting with only a little over 8” since June, about 10% below average. Pretty unreal.
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0.00 on the day still, line already starting to fizzle out and accelerate. Will probably be lucky to get .25” lol
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I got .10 in the last week. I’m even more cursed than you. Today looks like more of the same.
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1.35” today, 3.4” in the last 2 days.
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2.05" overnight, .10" so far today.
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Looks like I tempted the rain gods and they are now about unleash a deluge of all deluges. Part one dropped .80 in 20 mins, all that stuff in Philly now looks lined up for here.
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Lol getting a few pity drops at least… swing and a miss. https://ibb.co/pfxNx7j
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Going to be close call, looks like it’s gonna slide a mile or two to my west currently unless that line extends a little bit further. I’m on the far east side of Levittown, as far east as it gets.. literally across the canal is technically Morrisville.
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Complete bust here, got maybe a .10 earlier today but that’s it.
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Didn't get totally shut out but we were in a relative hole compared to locations 5-10 miles east and west of me. Picked up .25" from our brief storm.
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Will believe it when it occurs. It also had 2 inches for Wednesday and Thursday and I think I got .02".
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Yep the drought is looking like it's going to win this round. Obviously places that get a thunderstorm will make out OK but this looking more and more like a localized event and less like a regional widespread rainfall.
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Models continue backing off for significant amounts of precip with each progressive run... There's becoming a real possibility this "wet period" finishes with under a half inch of precip for many locations. Last night was a joke.
