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Everything posted by The Iceman
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Don't worry, they always start well the first ten games then things collapse. We're right in line still for a top 3 pick in a loaded draft and a GM change. My worry though is that unless they clear out the advisors along with the GM(Clarke, Holmgren, Lombardi, Barber), then nothing is really going to change. They'll only hire another puppet that caters to the whims of these dinosaurs. They desperately need fresh blood coming in from outside of the organization. The broad street bullies had their day but the game has passed them by. Get them the hell out of all organizational decision making, it's beyond time. As someone that didn't get to witness the cups, it's really beginning to stain their legacy to me as they are responsible for this current mess. I think Torts can be the right coach but they need a plan to acquire high end talent and no one in the front office currently has one.
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Really need the PNA to pop positive. Things look good in the NAO/AO domain beginning now, but until we get some ridging in the west we're going to be stuck in the cold/dry > warm up/wet cycle.
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So much for the early start to winter this year. First half of December looking mostly wet and mild. Signs that things may change shortly there after but the cans been getting kicked further down the line since early week. Have to start seeing it progress in time. Crazy pac jet is playing havoc on the models, they can’t even nail 5 days out let alone 10-15 days right now… will just have to sit and wait but IMO accumulating snow before Christmas looks like a long shot.
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Winter Forecasts for 2022-2023 (Amateur and Pro welcome)
The Iceman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
Below normal snowfall, above normal temps. but seriously that’s what I think. -
1.2" of rain overnight. Chilly this morning, currently 39F.
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First cold rain of the season tonight. Feels like mid winter
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Whoa a RW sighting, winter must be coming Hope you had a great summer man. Any thoughts on this upcoming winter? Most outlooks I've read seem to be leaning towards early chances, lull during peak winter, then more chances late winter/early spring. Would be pretty typical of a fading nina. Would be nice to get a storm or two before Christmas, feels like it's been awhile since we've had a great December storm pre Christmas.
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3-0* And this is a staple of Fletcher team the last few years. They started 7-2-1 in 2020 then 6-2-2 in 2021 before cratering both years. The underlying metrics are pretty bad just like the last 2 years. They've been outplayed all 3 games by a good margin. Carter Hart's .940 sv pct is a large reason they're 3-0. Once that falls to a more normal .920 or so, they'll start losing these games 5-4 or 4-3. It has been refreshing to see the team continue to battle even after going down by multiple scores early. I'm with you though, I was hoping we'd have a san jose start(0-5) and get Fletcher the hell out of here and have a shot at a #1 pick this year since the next Crosby/Mcdavid is coming out.
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Reminded me of Soler's bomb in the world series last year that left Minute Maid park.
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4.55" since Friday night. October is looking like a below normal month in the long range. Is the the correlation cold october here = warm winter or is it just if it snows in October then winter's over?
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4.1” of rain since Friday night. Impressive event. Looks like a brief lull this afternoon before another round of steady rain this evening/tonight.
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.65” of rain overnight. Raw out there now...53 F with winds gusting 20-25 mph.
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Flooding in pawleys island from the surge
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First extreme wind warning just issued: https://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay/status/1575134808707018752?s=20&t=ykf9_kXdUYDtrAeW2TQR1g
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Lloyd D's bio: "Suicide and Brain Damage survivor".. Going for the X2.
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Hurricane Ian landfall location/intensity prediction thread
The Iceman replied to Hoosier's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Sarasota 115 mph -
Pretty awesome loop of tonight's intensification(time sensitive): https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-13-200-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
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https://www.baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/2021/06/07/notable-hurricanes-that-impacted-tampa-bay-that-you-may-not-have-heard-about
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Only 11 days out
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Another “likely” chance of rain turning out to be isolated showers… picked up .25” last night, nothing at all today and nothing really cooking either…
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Hmm reading the enso charts looks like 1975-76 and 2000-01 were the other 2 3rd year nina's? Both weren't bad winters with 17.5" in 75-76 and 26.1" in 00-01 at PHL. Obviously not a large data set but I think many would take that if 3rd time follows the pattern.
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Picked up .6" early this morning. Definitely a nice soaking for the area. Mon-Tues could be a nice soaking area wide with a coastal storm but still a wide range of solutions in the ensembles ranging from 1-3" to a complete whiff.
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.7" overnight, cranked the humidity way up this morning. Grass still looking dead tho
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Picked up some sprinkles yesterday, not even measurable. The garden is in dire straits besides tomato's and peppers even with watering once a day.