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The Iceman

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  1. The Iceman
    Here's my winter forecast: Temps: Dec +1 - +3 Jan +2 - +4 Feb +4 - +6 Mar +1 - +3 Overall +2 - +4 Snowfall at select locations PHL 5-10" TTN 8-14" ABE 15-20" ACY 4-8" With how northern stream dominant the pattern has been this fall, I do think we see a return of the clipper this winter. Think this is how we receive most of our snow with several 1-3"/2-4" storms. I think this will also be a winter of big swings. Some pretty good cold shots followed by temps in the 70's a few days later. I don't see weeks on end of it being cold or warm. Precip overall below normal with a lack of southern stream interaction. We may sneak in a miller B that provides the area with it's biggest snowfall of the year(4-8" type deal) but not seeing a blockbuster as I expect the NAO to remain mostly positive.
  2. The Iceman
    I don’t mean for this to be snarky but calling for one of the warmest winters on record isn’t exactly going out on a limb considering we’ve seen 8 of the top 10 warmest winters in Philadelphia since 2010 and 6 of the top 10 warmest in the last 10 years and this year sure as hell doesn’t look like a 13-14 so ya most likely it’ll be a warm winter, they all are these days. Now dry, that would be unusual…
  3. The Iceman
    Looking like I may go the entire month of October without a drop of rain, pretty crazy.
  4. The Iceman
    Winter of 01-02 redux incoming? Or 11-12? Weren’t both super dry?
  5. The Iceman
    What is going to be the best time to view?
  6. The Iceman
    Tigers/Padres WS or bust
  7. The Iceman
    I literally have zero memory of that WS and I usually watch them all regardless.
  8. The Iceman
    Totally agree, there are definitely posts in this thread that are clearly not in good faith and straight up just trolling. Should be a no tolerance for that kind of thing in banter or otherwise on the wx side and just be an instant ban... However, I also feel for the mods that have enough on their hands in the main thread alone so it’s totally unfair to expect them to police the banter thread as well. It’s a shame that some people feel the need to troll a weather board but unfortunately there’s no shortage of immature morons on the internet that don’t receive enough attention in their daily life. Best thing to do is just ignore them and go about your business as if they don’t exist.
  9. The Iceman
    St Lucie tornado
  10. The Iceman
  11. The Iceman
    https://x.com/thehurricanenet/status/1844064618856976796?s=46&t=HjhTZpQDb4qolHVJRtuc7w I forget how to embed tweets but this is pretty nuts…
  12. The Iceman
    Follow the NWS forecast for your area... not crappy weather.com.
  13. The Iceman
    105 TJ
  14. The Iceman
    Red October more like dead October amirite??
  15. The Iceman
    One of my good friends has a condo in Indian rocks beach and every time I go down there, I think to myself how screwed that area is if a major hurricane ever landfalls there. Lots of homes and businesses without pilings and I’m pretty sure Helene washed out all of the dunes. That area will be unrecognizable if it landfalls in say Clearwater.
  16. The Iceman
    The visible sat loop this morning is mesmerizing. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  17. The Iceman
    No blizzards this winter only haboobs.
  18. The Iceman
    My aunt and uncle live in Live Oak, FL and got hit really hard for the 2nd time this year. They had crazy flooding and some tree damage from Debby now tons of tree damage from Helene. This was just around their house.
  19. The Iceman
    3 straight days with rain wow! .43" on the week. .53" on the month.
  20. The Iceman
    Anyone in the Greenville-Simpsonville, SC area? My parents are supposed to drive from Philly to Roanoke, VA this afternoon to go to Simpsonville tomorrow to see my grandparents. My grandparents don't drive so I can't rely on them to tell me how bad it actually is down there. Is it even going to be possible for my parents to get into Simpsonville tomorrow or are there many roads closed in the area? I've been on the phone all morning trying to convince my Dad not to leave until Sunday but not really getting far, I don't think he realizes how hard they got hit.
  21. The Iceman
    I know, sorry I should have used a sarcasm emoji
  22. The Iceman
    Nope, stuck on .1" for the month. Had a trace yesterday and a trace on saturday, nothing major. Is this a good signal for winter 2024-25?
  23. The Iceman
    Driest September on record going back to 1900 for the Trenton area is .19” in 1941 and they currently have .03”, could be in jeopardy of falling.
  24. The Iceman
    Looking like king GFS completely schooled the euro on this one. Had a few sprinkles on my way into work this morning though they honestly could have just been bugs hitting the windshield. Absolute shutout here. Dry streak rolls on.
  25. The Iceman
    I have .1” on the month so far. Driest September on record could be in reach if this is a complete whiff like the GFS CMC ICON and NAM now show. Nothing really on the horizon after this either.
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