The Iceman

New pattern looks like the old for everyone not in the Lehigh valley. Going to go out on a limb and say cold rain is the most likely outcome for these next 3 waves in se pa/nj. Trash ending of a trash winter. Bring on the 70s.

Correct, it may have snowed last night but there was nothing on the ground when I woke up at 6 am. Maybe I can get .25 this weekend. Not expecting more than that the rest of the way, but those expectations may be too high

Hopefully I can get another .25 to get to an inch on the year. Not expecting much else.

Tapering off now .25”. Round 2 will certainly be mostly rain here. Surprised it snowed at all down here tbh. Hopefully we can get another .25” Friday to hit the magical 1” mark on the year.

Finally over to all snow. Maybe we can eek out another .25 to go along with the seasonal trend.

Rain/sleet/mangled snowflake thrown in. Nothing sticking though. Temp down to 35.

Had light rain earlier, now nothing. 37F not expecting much down in the lowlands.

I wouldn’t give up off one run of the euro. Tomorrow’s storm was a glorified cold front two days ago and now we are talking snow. Still think there’s a shot Friday ends up further south than what’s currently shown. Lots of time to go…

I’ll be happy to eek out an inch imby tomorrow. Think the 95 area sees more sleet than anything. N and W of there should see a solid advisory event up to low end warning criteria in the LHV and Pocono’s. Feeling the same way in regard to Friday. I’m leaning towards 95 ending up with an advisory event that changes over towards the end but N and W sees a warning level event. Basically splitting the difference in the two camps of the models. I hope the Euro solution comes true though for both events, it would make this winter a D+ instead of a F-.

If the gfs clowns the euro on these next 2 systems it’s time to move on to spring. What a shit topping to this shit sundae winter that would be.

Went from 46 to 52 in the last hour with full sun now. 60 does seem probable.

I lived right where this hit about 6 years ago. Went right over my old condo. Good thing I moved!

Euro is a cutter with temps into the 50's and a chance of thunderstorms.

Beautiful day. Daffodils are in full bloom out front. Buckle up for full spring ahead.

Congrats San Francisco and parts of LA on the 00z Euro

Already hit 60 here. The HRRR has extreme SE PA making a run at 70 this afternoon, depends on how long the clouds hold off.

HMU when we're 72 hours out and it's still looking good.

This years super bowl just really confirmed that the NFL clearly influences the outcomes of games via officials. Not a single holding penalty all game long on either team and that’s the one they decide to call with the game on the line? Sorry but I call bullshit. 2nd year in a row now that the climax of the game is decided on a ticky tac penalty that went uncalled the entire game. I’ll be treating the NFL like WWE from now on and know that outcomes are heavily influenced based on what makes the league and their sponsors(gambling sites) the most money.

Sounds good to me! Hopefully no setbacks and this just continues into spring. I wouldn't hate an early start to golfing, fishing, and gardening season. I think we all know we're going to have sustained cold air arrive after March 1st when we're begging for this winter to just be done though.

Jake was referring to winter 2022-23:

I thought it'd be above normal temps and below normal snowfall but I was thinking below normal as in the 10-15" range, not complete shutout. 3rd year nina's usually suck around here but usually you get a few changeover/nickle and dime events that add up. I had a feeling we were in trouble though when December completely failed. Most established nina's in these parts are usually frontloaded. When we were blanked in December then flooded with Pac air in January, I was skeptical February would save the day as Feb is usually the worst month snow wise in a nina. March is a crap shoot though, I honestly won't be surprised if we get some stupid fluke event in mid march that drops a foot when everyone is looking forward to spring.

Warminster snow capitol strikes again

This winter is honestly worse than 19-20. Prime climo, perfect track. All rain. Climate change rearing it's ugly head.

If there's a will there's a way. But seriously I don't hate the look on the ECM other than it's blazing warm. With those high pressure's situated over the top up north, you'd think it'd be much colder than what it's currently showing. Interestingly the GFS has the cold but pattern is too progressive for the follow up wave. Split the difference between them and we aren't in a bad spot. Still a thread the needle situation though, but one of these times it's gotta thread dammit!

Feb looking like a wall to wall torch outside of that 3 day window for the RW storm. GEFS is UGLY. I think Phil was right though, 6 more weeks of this shitty winter.