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The Iceman

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Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    one word, NAM'd. S Jersey is nuked, but the entire area gets a significant storm. still snowing during this frame too.
  2. The Iceman
    Do they still have the DGEX? That's got to be showing the storm from The Day After Tomorrow.
  3. The Iceman
    You mind quoting it? I can't find that post.
  4. The Iceman
    short answer: There are many layers to the atmosphere than just the 540 thickness. You want the 2M temp maps which shows the actual surface freezing line. That still won't be the answer here because dynamics will mean it can snow above 32 but the 2M temp maps are a more accurate representation of the surface conditions than the 540 thickness.
  5. The Iceman
    Parents and grandparents do and they’re always asking me what the weather is going to do so I follow there just as close as here lol
  6. The Iceman
    Yes it did. We kept holding out hope because of the fucking euro and euro ai on that storm were teases until like 36 hours out.
  7. The Iceman
    I’m saying 18z will be happy hour, it’ll look even better than 12z, 00z with the fresh data is where the rug gets yanked though
  8. The Iceman
    Get ready for chaos because I think the euro is actually going to do it lmao edit: not quite, looked great at hour 72 and 78...but we mostly get the IVT Biggest difference i see is that the GFS bombs the low out to 977, the euro doesn't bomb it out nearly as dramatically hence the block shunts it further east. I thought it looked closer to the GFS though than 00z did.
  9. The Iceman
    Yeesh many of the Gefs are just as bullish as the op… pretty tight cluster to the nw of the mean. this is either going to be an all time fail by the gfs suite or the coup of the decade. My money is on fail but it’s definitely going down swinging.
  10. The Iceman
    interestingly the AIGFS also shifted NW... it was much further east than the OP at 06z and still is, but it definitely shifted towards the OP. I'm thinking we meet in the middle of the GFS and the other models, meaning a close miss. Maybe we can salvage something with the IVT though, won't know until Sunday with that.
  11. The Iceman
    Sorry to hear dude, it's always the freaking snowboarders that go down out of control and take people out... Hope you get well soon. 12z NAM at range is a complete whiff. Good start to 12z GFS is going to cave and we'll be tracking the IVT the rest of the way
  12. The Iceman
    I see what kind of voodoo you're trying to cast
  13. The Iceman
    well the maybe he should say that instead of shitting all over the thread with inaccurate one liners.
  14. The Iceman
    It’s not even out yet you fucking clown
  15. The Iceman
    That’s cool still a far cry from 70+ as was stated in the beginning of Feb…
  16. The Iceman
    We got 16" on Boxing day, 10 miles away got 6". Insane gradient.
  17. The Iceman
    The ignore feature only works if you jokers stop quoting! GFS is a big hit for 95 through SNJ.
  18. The Iceman
    The fog and rain the next 3 days are going to do damage. By the time Sunday comes around, I'd bet there's not much left other than piles.
  19. The Iceman
    what's funny is that the OP euro has been brutal this winter too...not GFS bad but still pretty bad. The AI euro is crushing the OP euro in verification scores last I saw...it's going to be a clear upgrade once it's fully integrated.
  20. The Iceman
    Well if Newman, Heisy, and Ralph are all excited for 12z runs, fuck it I’m in too I will add, the track of the primary brings me concern on both the GFS and Euro AI, I know they show snow right now but I think it would be hard for us not to change over to sleet if that track is correct. Icon is a great start to 12z though wow. That’s just about a perfect outcome…
  21. The Iceman
    I’m going to lmao if this verifies. So much for 70s the first week of march.
  22. The Iceman
    MJO has a lag effect fyi
  23. The Iceman
    10 events on the season now for 27.4”, not too shabby. I would still be shocked if we don’t hit 30”.
  24. The Iceman
    Yeah but without arctic temps locked in/not really on this side of the globe, do we rain instead of stay to sleet? Stay tuned.
  25. The Iceman
    I think they thought 1-2” with the temps there’d be no issues with the roads but yeah everything is covered even down here. Definitely slippery out imo. Just hit the inch mark.
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