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Everything posted by The Iceman
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1/6 snowstorm - nuisance event or something bigger?
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
More like 2-4” if that. Guidance was really keen on most of se pa seeing 1-3” tops by the end and it was correct. There were maybe a model or two that showed s pa into philly in the 3-5” range but the final href was 2-4” most of extreme se pa 1-2” north of that and that seems to have been pretty on point albeit on the low end. -
1/6 snowstorm - nuisance event or something bigger?
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
We got a really nice band between 10 and 11:30 am that put down over an inch. The other .8” or so fell from 7-10 and then 11:30-1. Overall not bad. 5.5” on the season. If we can reel in this weekend, we could be cooking with gas this winter. -
1/6 snowstorm - nuisance event or something bigger?
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Just measured 2” in Levittown. Winding down now. Vast majority fell between 9:30 and 12:30. -
Crazy, i know nobody is expecting any snow so even 1-3" will catch a lot of people off guard.
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I think one of those March 2018 bombs were WSW's for everyone but it could have been rain at the coast, I don't remember.
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Agreed. I really like where we sit right now, thinking this has a terrific shot at being a region wide warning event.
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.5” snow and sleet this morning. Roads were awful this morning at least by me. 3” on the year now.
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Made it down to 6F last night
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2.5” in Levittown, way exceeded expectations
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Driving back from Philly was a nightmare looks to be around 2” out there. Pleasant surprise. Should stick around all weekend too!
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95 jackpot for the ivt? Wasn’t the peak supposed to be 9-2 am tonight? Radar looks great. I’m in Philly and it’s coming down pretty hard. Ground was covered in lower bucks when I left.
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Coming down surprisingly hard in lower bucks. Grass and colder surfaces beginning to cave. Didn’t expect anything this early. Maybe we squeeze out an inch or two?
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Not expecting anything more than flurries
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I would take anything measurable.. because right now we are tracking to finish below normal on the month temp wise with 0 snow.
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We have snow in Levittown.
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Wait wasn’t 2013-14 mostly clippers or am I misremembering that.
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Flakes occasionally mixing in at Trenton but mostly rain. At least I saw snow lol
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.85" overnight and this morning. People were driving like they've never seen rain before this morning.
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100%, anything amped is going to be a mixed bag or cold rain for those of us in the coastal plain/95 potentially even further NW. would be prolific storm for central pa and the poconos. Weaker wave that slides underneath won’t be as prolific of a snowmaker but would be a nice region wide 2-4/3-6” storm for most.
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squall line overnight? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2024112018/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_11.png
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Euro has it too... lock it in
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RGEM showing a period of snow Friday morning for just about everyone, same with the FV3. Ignore the accumulation maps but should make for some nice snow TV if it happens.
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I’d be happy just to see some flakes fly down this way, think there’s a decent chance of seeing that.
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I don't know, I've been worried that Greenskeeper is going to show up in Levittown with the hot dog gun that the Phanatic carries to hunt me down.
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Yep I agree, seasonal forecasting is a crapshoot more now than ever. Encouraging though that it's looking like we should start with a good pattern towards the end of the month/beginning of december. The pieces are there to get on the board early. Good to see you back buddy, your annual return is one of the signs I look for that winter is coming
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