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Everything posted by dwagner88
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Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The record streak of consecutive 90+ degree days is going to top 50. We hit 100 again today, breaking a 130 year old record. -
Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Today is our record 39th consecutive 90+ degree day. I think the normal amount per year is 47. We are at 73. Really sick of this. -
Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
KCHA has been outdoing KMEM on heat indexes this week. That's rare. And very unwelcome. -
We nearly had a repeat of the August 2025 flash flood last night. It hit Ringgold and Catoosa county instead. 6" of rain in less than 3 hours.
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
What's the criteria for an extreme heat warning? Seems like 112 should qualify, but we aren't under one: -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got over 2" from a very vivid storm last night. Lots of trees down this morning. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fun fact: as of yesterday afternoon I have recorded more rain in the first 5 days of August than I did in the entire month of July. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ended July with 2.83” of rain. Average is nearly 6”. Started August off on the right foot with a spectacular thunderstorm this evening. 1.7” in the gauge. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It finally rained IMBY today. 1.25" is the most I've recorded in a day since 5/6. Monthly total for July is still only about 40% of normal. I think I might be the only person in the state with worsening drought conditions. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I did everything I could to summon the rain yesterday. I washed my car, put the sprinklers out on the lawn, even sprayed some herbicides. Got missed again. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm getting really sick of watching it rain in a circle all around me. I actually just lost power for a while due to lightning, but the rain dome is intact. Not a single drop of rain. Looking at my records, it hasn't rained an inch in a single event here since 5/24. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just can't seem to get the storms around my area for some reason. There have been storms around daily for a couple of weeks now, but I've really had very little rain. And WAY less thunder than a normal July. This should be the wettest month of the year here. Even today we are stuck under the anvil of the large storm cluster over northern Atlanta. It's stabilizing us without giving us any rain. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Total miss today. 90% pops too. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Mostly misses down here. My 3 day total sits at 0.71", but it came in 4-5 different brief showers. Good for the grass, not so great for ponds and streams which are all VERY low. Looks like coverage will be better down here today and tomorrow. -
So far I have not been the beneficiary of any of these storms for any rainfall, but the outflow boundary was very welcome. Dropped the temp from 93 to 78.
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not sure why our heat advisory hasn't been an extreme heat warning. We hit a heat index of 108 yesterday and 110 so far today. I think that's above the advisory level. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like there are some legitimate 80 degree dew points showing up. KDNN (Dalton) is registering 90/80 with a HI of 107. My PWS has spiked to an 82 degree DP which is the highest one I have ever recorded. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hitting 90 before 10 AM today. If we mix out dews we probably break 100. Got close yesterday. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
All misses down here this weekend. I could see the clouds off to the NW, but they never materialized into rain. It was pretty darn hot yesterday. My PWS peaked at 93.6 with a DP of 77. That calculates a heat index of 108. I'm confident that my PWS overestimates the DP consistently, but the point still stands: it's hot. -
This bowed out storm complex rolling through looks pretty mean. 80 mph winds in the strongly worded warning text. They also activated the cell phone emergency alerts for it.
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Only 0.25" here. Way more in every direction all around me. Oh well. Still doing ok on a monthly basis and more is coming Monday. -
Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just got back from a week on the beach in SC. Came back to a lush lawn. Things are looking much better up here than they have all spring. It's really bad down in SC. Very little surface water. I was in the low country for a week and didn't get a single mosquito bite. That's severe drought. And it didn't rain a drop the whole time we were there. -
52 this morning. Felt fantastic on my run. Can't beat that for early June.
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Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
dwagner88 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nothing panned out today. It looked like it was going to rain all day, but it never really started. Only 0.05" here. Total for this 10 day wet pattern was 4.94". We need a few more of those to get back to normal. Still in D2 conditions here, but D3 is only a few miles away.
