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dwagner88

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Everything posted by dwagner88

  1. dwagner88
    28 here as well. Still hanging on to a few snowflakes, but I'm back to mostly sleet.
  2. dwagner88
    Pretty concerned about the train of moisture that has set up along the southern border. It seems that was poorly modeled. It's fine as snow, but I don't think we will be able to maintain 850 temps capable of supporting snow for much longer.
  3. dwagner88
    And we have changed to primarily snow. Absolutely did not expect this.
  4. dwagner88
    Sleet and ZR mix here. 28 degrees.
  5. dwagner88
    I don't think there will be much if any accretion at 32. If the lower elevations down here maintain 32, I think the problems are minor. I suspect area mountaintops will be a disaster zone. Could even extend to the higher ridge tops in the eastern and northern suburbs.
  6. dwagner88
    You know, without the context of what has happened so far this week, this would be really exciting. Very nearly a 1993 redux.
  7. dwagner88
    Oh I saw that. It just looks really off to me for some reason. Way different than WPC maps I'm used to. Like all the overlays are shaky.
  8. dwagner88
    Is that an official product? Because it looks like I drew it in MS Paint.
  9. dwagner88
    I'm getting pretty nervous about the CAD bubble over the Chattanooga metro. It's obvious on the Canadian, the GFS and the NAM. Completely absent on the Euro. The really difficult thing is forecasting actual temps. The CAD bubble may keep us at 31, but that's likely not cold enough to allow for accretion with heavy precip rates.
  10. dwagner88
    This actually looks more like very strong CAD rounding the corner of the mountains in North GA and affecting the southern valley. It has happened before. I think in the early 2000's.
  11. dwagner88
    I don't buy it, because I don't think we will have snowpack, but this would crush our all time record. Currently it is -10 (which has been tied three times).
  12. dwagner88
    GFS and Canadian are a disastrous ice storm for southern areas. Time to start rooting for a 33 degree rain. Looks like a snowy solution is out for the southern valley.
  13. dwagner88
    No snow at all for Chattanooga proper on that GFS run. Just ice.
  14. dwagner88
    The snow melted fairly quickly in sunny spots after 1993. After 1996, it was frigid. That's the only subzero temperature at KCHA in my lifetime. There were piles of sleet in the mall parking lot until March.
  15. dwagner88
    Kinda speechless to be honest.
  16. dwagner88
    Marble countertop. Everywhere. January 1996 was like that here. around 4" of mostly sleet and ZR with a bit of snow. It took FOREVER to melt.
  17. dwagner88
    Not based on anything scientific, but Chattanooga has been severely overdue for an ice storm for many years. I do not get an overly snowy feeling with this one. I'm servicing my generator today.
  18. dwagner88
    Normally I would have posted something in here over the course of winter. It's just been so boring. Nothing exciting. No real heavy precipitation events, severe drought, only mediocre cold. Zero snow. Need a pattern shakeup.
  19. dwagner88
    The GFS is going to cause flooding here Saturday. It's significantly heavier with the precip than the other globals and has SE TN and N. GA in the 4-7" range.
  20. dwagner88
    Blew past the record high today at 78. Not sure what the all time December record is, but I bet we were close. I’m sick of this. Someone please bring winter back.
  21. dwagner88
    No AC usage yet, but I did spend about an hour sitting on a chair in the yard in shorts this afternoon. 72 IMBY, 74 official. Tied the record.
  22. dwagner88
    I think the cold is locked in at this point regardless of models. My NWS point forecast has zero snow at all Sunday or Monday, but an overnight low of 23 Monday night. Brrr.
  23. dwagner88
    I drove up to about 3000' on the Cherohala Skyway on summer tires in my GTI during that 2014 snow. I still have a bunch of pictures of it somewhere. I couldn't comfortably drive any further towards the NC line, but I think there was 3-4" on the ground at that elevation and it was still coming down. Super windy and cold too.
  24. dwagner88
    Interesting forecast for Monday. Last night at 00Z the euro was on an island showing a heavy precipitation event over northern GA and SE TN caused by what looked like a cutoff low. It disappeared at the 12Z runs, but now the GFS has it. Official forecast for now is sunny skies, but two models have shown 4-6” of rain.
  25. dwagner88
    2.54" Monday, not as much expected today, but we could still crack 3" for the week. Looks like even more heavy rain is possible Sunday-Tuesday.
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