That look is confusing to me. The blues are west BUT the SER is way south of us. Is that showing a large model spread or just a transition to a western trough.
Shocked nothing has shown up during this second half of Jan. So far and as modeled.
Understand the fast flow and wave spacing but no luck at all is amazing to me.
Thanks Walt.
The models look paltry w/r/t snowfall. If it pans out this way it would be shocking that we did not experience even one moderate snowfall for the 2nd half of the month.
I for one am shocked.
We probably end up with a moderate event during a Feb torch period like Feb 2018.
I am stuck at 9.
All I wanted was to be able to continue to say "only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century".
Looking more and more like 7 with each passing day.
Hate to say it we need a SSWE for March.
Wavelength shortening 2nd half of Feb and March La Ninas usually produce.
First half of February is warm.
Hopefully we get a good event by EOM like that which the CMC and GFS are showing.
We will likely torch first 2 weeks then shorter wavelengths 2nd half of Feb and March kick in.
WRT reaching average Annual snowfall it will come down to whether or not we score a good event before EOM.