EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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I mean I think the CMC is a bit overboard, however a minor to moderate event is not 0%.
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Hey Bluewave serious question - would the persistent SE ridging help bring this west?
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Wasn't 19/20 an El Nino? Or was it neutral?
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Thanks for this. Absolutely pathetic by the ensembles.
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Looks like the same old path, so perhaps we do, for the 3rd time, get into 7 and briefly 8. Would help.
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Ha yeah I have been shaken by the dreadful ensemble performance. It's a la Nina so an RNA is likely most of the time. To me the question is how long. The MJO plots may hold the key to that
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Yeah just took a look at the ensembles, not pretty at all through day 15.
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Too far off the coast but 500 mile shifts are nothing these days.
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Low pressure # 15 please
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Too bad this little critter dies out. Could have been our participation trophy.
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Less than that. They literally flipped in 24 hours from an epic extended look to a big rainstorm and warmth. In my mind day 10 onwards on the ensembles are extinct like the weeklies.
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Hey, if it's not going to snow the next best thing is nice warm weather. Bring it on!
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https://www.britannica.com/science/Little-Ice-Age
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THIS is where the ridge off the east coast would be handy! Instead of this wave sliding off the coast, would hopefully move it NNE. Not expecting anything just a snapshot in modeling time.
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Took from MA forum - perhaps this is what you were looking for? -
Yeah there is definitely an opportunity after the cutter. GEM was close.
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Yup. Happened before will happen again.
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I wish I could believe what the models are actually showing. My confidence in them are extremely shaken. I am ok with a warm up. Want to avoid 45 and rainy.
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Side note for the newbies - this 4 year stretch is nothing compared to 96/97 through 01/02. That period had two absolute ratters and was warmer. That being said, a similarity would be each stretch had 1 above average snowfall winter (00/01 and 20/21). This year is to be decided of course. 12/13 also had 1 snowfall in December as well and turned out well especially City east. We shall see but will be fun either way.
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WRT this upcoming storm, still holding out a LITTLE hope that we can get a coating to 2 inches before the changeover. Long shot but fun to track. Season snowfall to date - 1.5.
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Lol check out the one ensemble member that goes off the chart in 6.
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Ha. I guess one good thing about not trusting the ensembles past day 7 is I can ignore the new bad look
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Agree on pattern recognition focus. However, this horrific performance by the ensembles is just outright disappointing and pathetic. They are supposed to be a tool for those in the meteorology profession. Now I just look at them past day 7 the same way I look at weeklies - entertainment. Maybe I am overreacting but jeez.
