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EastonSN+

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  1. EastonSN+
    0.5 December 7.5 Jan 8.0 to date
  2. EastonSN+
    Didn't this similar pattern last for 2.5 months in 15/16? Wondering if this can lock in for the remainder on the year? I know the blob was off the west coast, however heard that they still don't know if the blob was caused by the constant ridge or vise versa. Perhaps this year we reverse 89/90
  3. EastonSN+
    Likely the case BUT, 1. If the RNA is say -1 instead of -2 we can snow if Feb. Especially if the -NAO returns as well. 2. Sets up for a potentially great March due to La Nina and progression/loop of MJO would put us back to 8 by March if we follow the same progression from December into Jan. Will be fun to see how it unfolds in any event.
  4. EastonSN+
    Agreed. I do think this favorable period will last longer than expected, so if the next 2 weeks do not pan out there is still time IMO. Also, the old fashioned pattern changing storm (Jan 1996) can occur if we are lucky once the pattern does relax. OT - Marches usually produce in La Ninas, hopefully this does too IF we migrate to an unfavorable pattern in FEB.
  5. EastonSN+
    The GFS now has the CMC Miller B storm as well.
  6. EastonSN+
    I loved 13/14 the last time the polar vortex visited as well as the Winters you listed. 58 inches of snow before we were shut out in March and DC started racking up.
  7. EastonSN+
    10/11 had three blockbusters and a norlun trough. Then the pattern changed and we got 1 to 3 from a changeover storm in Feb. Then a 4.5 inch changeover event in March.
  8. EastonSN+
    Love how the core of the cold, trough is a bit west of us to avoid suppression.
  9. EastonSN+
    Sorry for your loss Snowman.
  10. EastonSN+
    Love the blocking holding in the High pressure. Watching modeling over the past 25 years generally when there is blocking storms trend more south and colder compared to no blocking where the opposite happens.
  11. EastonSN+
    GFS storm actually ends up much snowier than I expected.
  12. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt. Given the H5 look would think the outcome would be snowier for both events (CMC re developer and GFS Jan 24 storm)
  13. EastonSN+
    Beautiful storm on the CMC. I would bet on it ending up further south and colder.
  14. EastonSN+
    Beautiful storm on the CMC. I would bet on it ending up further south and colder (all snow Long island and all southern New England).
  15. EastonSN+
    I wonder what's to stop this from rolling straight through March like 14/15. Even if the MJO goes unfavorable say Feb 1, wouldn't it just circle back to where we are in March? The December pattern was only a bad pattern due to the record RNA.
  16. EastonSN+
    Have not had a foot plus storm since last Feb, I am due.
  17. EastonSN+
    PLEASE make this come true.
  18. EastonSN+
    Euro has the Miller B about 8. GEM overrunning Bout 8 and GFS 11/12
  19. EastonSN+
    GFS is an absolute beauty. CMC was looking like it was cooking up a monster but ended up turning to rain. Nice B on the EURO. Love that all three models show something.
  20. EastonSN+
    General 3 to 6.
  21. EastonSN+
    EURO did not have the monster but had a fairly decent miller b.
  22. EastonSN+
    Or a reshuffle like 03 and 96.
  23. EastonSN+
    I like the Kutchera better. Plus a follow up clipper after to refresh the pack! CMC had a good looking storm too.
  24. EastonSN+
    I know they are the Teles, however they do show the PNA dropping as well as the NAO. I know this combo failed in December, however I still think if the RNA was not record setting, with the Negative NAO we would have scored fairly often. Negative NAO PNA combo usually provides us with overrunning events.
  25. EastonSN+
    And we know how good March usually is in terms of snowfall in la Nina
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