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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I think you are right and know what you are talking about, however just want to know your thoughts about the pattern moving forward into January.
  2. EastonSN+
    I don't see why we can't get overrunning/changeover events with that look. Storm passes pulls down cool air they next storm comes and we get couple inches before changeover.
  3. EastonSN+
    Do you think that the upcoming pattern with negative AO NAO PNA EPO can produce, or can the RNA overpower the other indices and lock us in a similar NNE only type pattern for snowfall?
  4. EastonSN+
    Congrats NNE!
  5. EastonSN+
    I look at is as we need to score in the 2 to 4 weeks tht the AO is negative and rely on March (always good in Nina). I honestly believe we have a decent shot at an average snowfall winter.
  6. EastonSN+
    1971 would be a good outcome relatively speaking.
  7. EastonSN+
    Thanks This is an earlier shot of the EPS. Understand that the core of the cold is definitely west, however wouldn't we have enough cool air for front end overrunning situations even at this timeframe? I feel like 1992/93 had a lot of 1 to 3 inch storms (changeover to rain events) with almost a coast to coast trough. I may be wrong but I feel like the below could produce in the same way, especially central and northern areas of this forum.
  8. EastonSN+
    This is VERY close to something decent.
  9. EastonSN+
    Wow
  10. EastonSN+
    Didn't we have a negative NAO last February with record snowfalls?
  11. EastonSN+
    Would take 08/09 in a heartbeat
  12. EastonSN+
    The CMC and GFS are world's apart right now. CMC crushes NNE through 240. I define NNE as VT NH and ME. I would take the average of the 2.
  13. EastonSN+
    2 snowstorms for the MA on the gfs. Rooting for them.
  14. EastonSN+
    AO, NAO, PNA and MJO all heading in right direction this morning.
  15. EastonSN+
    My guess is it will but short duration and lower amplitude. I would rather loop in 7 then fly through 8.
  16. EastonSN+
    I will take extended phase 7 all day. Cooler temps and minor snow events.
  17. EastonSN+
    GEPS looked the best to me with ridging out west in the extended. GEFS decent look but more of a central ridge. Do not have eps past day 10 but similar to GEFS. Would think the GEFS and EPS would be somewhat dry with smaller events. GEPS would be a great time.
  18. EastonSN+
    Good news for us as phase 7 is decent for smaller events. Will be interesting to see how long this stays in 8 if at all.
  19. EastonSN+
    Love the fact that accums are down to central Jersey. Buffer for SNE.
  20. EastonSN+
    Phase 7 is cooler than average in the Northeast. Coldest centered in the northern plains.
  21. EastonSN+
    https://justinweather.com/2021/12/14/death-of-long-range-weather-models/
  22. EastonSN+
    Hope the NAO is a little more west based this year. Don't think there was a lot is snow in SNE 70/71 but could be wrong.
  23. EastonSN+
    I am guessing the only thing that would be a concern is lack of precipitation/dry? Otherwise that's a great blocking setup.
  24. EastonSN+
    All the tells are heading in a good direction this morning. The only somewhat negative would be the delay in getting the MJO to 8. Keeps getting pushed back day after day. It's not showing a stall in 7 then drop to COD, but rather higher amplitude and slower. That could be GREAT as 7 is good and IF IF IF it gets into 8 at a close Amplitude AND that slow, could be a really good winter.
  25. EastonSN+
    Actually getting amped for the depicted upcoming pattern. May not produce KUs but can easily produce light to moderate if not heavy. Hopefully it pans out. Still can't believe I have only experienced 6 below Average snowfall winters this century! Maybe it's why I am optimistic. Blocking is always good to have.
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