The below is best case. MJO getting back to 7,8,1 by the time the block matures last quarter of the month!
Hard not to get amped.
On a side note, and a question, can a large MJO spike in 6 cause an SSWE? Isnt that what happened in March 2018?
Looks like the 2010 block was further west into Canada in that snip - perhaps pushing the SE ridge a bit east in 2010.
This might help us avoid suppression in the initial stage.
Varies. March 2018 and December 2010 each lasted 6 plus weeks.
March was a SSWE (not sure reason for 2010). Since this was not caused by a SSWE might not last as long? The METS on this forum would know best.
Yeah 09/10 was razor thin. Living in Norwalk at the time ended up with above average snowfall (42), however was just a few miles away from 10/11 type totals.
If I am not mistaken passage through 8,1,2 is preferred.
Thereafter a high amplitude wave comes around the bend. Hope that leads to another 8,1,2 passage.