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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Perhaps cutter(s) skewing the over temps?
  2. Even ECMWF has it going into phase 7 heading to 8, albeit at a much slower pace. Both models have a stall in early phase 7 before progressing.
  3. Not a great look, but unlike 2011/2012 we will at least have cold on our side of the globe, which can allow for weak trailing waves to give us lite to moderate snowfalls. Has Central Park ever been held to under one inch of snow for a winter season? Don't think it's ever happened here in SW CT (lowest I ever recorded was 3.5 in 97/98 I believe).
  4. NAM a solid 1 to 3. I'd take that then some nice warm air for mid month.
  5. Gotcha. Yeah from NYC on north and east got hammered from mid Jan onwards It was a really snowy March too.
  6. It's pretty much a dartboard scenario. All options on the table.
  7. I think the MJO heading towards phase 7 will help us here
  8. I am still holding out hope for a Raleigh jackpot.
  9. Good for the MA if this pans out, they have been suffering in the snowfall department lately.
  10. While the AO, NAO, PNA are all heading in the wrong direction (if u like cold and snow), the MJO is still heading to phase 7 at decent amplitude. Per discussions on this board not sure on the effect it will have, but if it does it will be a good indication of a solid EOM.
  11. Looks like the opposite of last year's seasonal snowfall distro.
  12. Thanks Don. No two winters are alike but will hold out hope for a repeat of 2008/2009. Icy winter with above average seasonal snowfall capped by a nice March first noreaster.
  13. This is the type of storm that can work. In Jan 2012 we had the biggest storm of the season from a weak wave following a cutter.
  14. Teles PNA going sharply negative AO rising NAO rising Good news is MJO is heading to phase 7 at a decent level.
  15. Here's the answer (CT folks). Sorry if belongs in winter thread but it includes December. https://www.ctinsider.com/living/article/ct-winter-predictions-2021-2022-16666554.php
  16. It does feel like April is cooler than normal as well recently. Can't remember last time we had a great April.
  17. Didn't care too much for the ensembles today. Looks like gradient to our north. Did not have EPS past day 10 so maybe light at end of that one.
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