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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    13/14 for CPK was 58. if March produced and was not suppressed record broken likely.
  2. EastonSN+
    Boston broke theirs in 6 weeks. Was a terrible winter for them outside of that. Also 13/14 was as close to wall to wall as you can get and may have broken the record if not for the March suppression.
  3. EastonSN+
    I guess my question is, why can't a setup like 13/14 happen again? PV stuck on our side? March less suppressive could have broken the record.
  4. EastonSN+
    Question. Why can't we have a wall to wall season like 95/96 I'm the past 6 years we have had accumulating snows in both November and April. Even a Dusting in May. May be slightly harder but not impossible. We just need a static favorable pattern. They are relatively rare but they happen.
  5. EastonSN+
    How about a 13/14 setup? That March with all the suppression could nail us. Perhaps we beat the record the same way Boston did, a 6 week torrid stretch I feel like 13/14 gets overlooked too often. We could have challenged 95/96 if March wasn't too suppressive.
  6. EastonSN+
    Records are made to be broken. I would put money on us breaking 95/96 in the next 10 years. With the same setup and warmer ocean temps, the same storms would have more juice and therefore higher amounts.
  7. EastonSN+
    That sums up 97/98
  8. EastonSN+
    It still gets to 8 before weakening. This wave looks stronger than the last 2. Will provide at least a brief window. We did have opportunities last 2 but as usual we failed.
  9. EastonSN+
    Please correct me if I am mistaken but I believe the following is best enso state to worst: Weak El Nino Moderate El Nino Weak la nina Neutral Moderate la Nina Strong El Nino Strong la nina
  10. EastonSN+
    Yeah, I learned that I never want to witness a triple dip la Nina ever again.
  11. EastonSN+
    Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO getting into phase 8 at a good amplitude before dropping into the COD. This can be another good window.
  12. EastonSN+
    Modoki El Ninos are our top snowfall winters. 14/15 and 02/03 were El Ninos. If I am not mistaken, 09/10 was an El Nino as well. If you are talking about STRONG El Ninos correct. We do not want 97/98.
  13. EastonSN+
    Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO hitting phase 8 at a good amplitude before quickly plummeting into the COD. This is our best opportunity since we somehow messed up December.
  14. EastonSN+
    Correct, however today the GEFS also moved into 8.
  15. EastonSN+
    It does start with the SE ridge/NAO link but progresses to a more classic look as the month concludes.
  16. EastonSN+
    Weeklies went ape with blocking. BROOKLYNWX posted on the MA and NE forums. I mean a ton of blocking.
  17. EastonSN+
    I live south of Danbury and I feel like I get more snow than them. If I had to guess Danbury has experienced the biggest drop off in all CT.
  18. EastonSN+
    Yeah I noticed that locally. For instance, NEMO dry slotted then as did December 2010, December 2009 and a host of other storms. That area has been very unlucky since 2000.
  19. EastonSN+
    I saw a couple snowfall maps in the MA forum in the past where a little snow deficit "hole" surrounded DC almost perfectly. Snowfall accums we're east west south and north. I feel that NYC will see a drop off in snowfall much much quicker than all surrounding areas in a similar manner. Where say Larchmont will remain average in snowfall for years to come while CPK will see a dramatic drop in average snowfall.
  20. EastonSN+
    An interesting comparison IMO would be a 6 year comparison of the following: 96/97 through 01/02 17/18 through this year to date Outside of 00/01, that stretch was the worst in my lifetime. If next year is a super Nino, the 6 year period of 18/19 through next year could compare.
  21. EastonSN+
    I remember 97/98 being extremely rainy with a lot of perfect benchmark track rainstorms. That was an El Nino, which are typically cooler than la Ninas like this year. That being said, I wonder if 97/98 would have been warmer than this year to date if we had more clear day. This year we have had cold air closer by in the Canadian region.
  22. EastonSN+
    The LP was too far SW for SE and Eastern areas. Looped SE of eastern LI. NAO must have been Strongly negative with a positive PNA and negative EPO.
  23. EastonSN+
    Speaking of heat island effect, I wonder what the 100 year temperature change is for say Larchmont as compared to Central Park. We use CPK as our overall benchmark, however most live outside of Manhattan.
  24. EastonSN+
    New development this morning, the GEFS now gets the MJO into phase 8 like the ECMWF (yesterday the GEFS killed the wave in 7). So, if one is looking for one more window, there it is if it does indeed reach 8.
  25. EastonSN+
    Right from the 1997/1998 playbook, although that year there were multiple perfect storm tracks with all rain. History repeating itself
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