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EastonSN+

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  1. EastonSN+
    New development this morning, the GEFS now gets the MJO into phase 8 like the ECMWF (yesterday the GEFS killed the wave in 7). So, if one is looking for one more window, there it is if it does indeed reach 8.
  2. EastonSN+
    Right from the 1997/1998 playbook, although that year there were multiple perfect storm tracks with all rain. History repeating itself
  3. EastonSN+
    Just in time for spring
  4. EastonSN+
    Just in time for spring.....
  5. EastonSN+
    Looking at the graph, it's shocking how great 2000 through 2018 were. Really the best period since 1900 to 1920. can you run that for 1920 to today? I do not like to compare to the 1800s as we were still emerging from the mini ice age.
  6. EastonSN+
    Can't wait for this background state to change. Hope it does not have to wait until another super Nino to flip.
  7. EastonSN+
    Given that TT said it would die in 7, and the last one died in 7, would bet on the GEFS.
  8. EastonSN+
    The EC has the MJO wave progress steadily into phase 8 while the GEFS kills the wave in 7 (Typhoon said this would happen). Likely the reason for the difference in the ensembles.
  9. EastonSN+
  10. EastonSN+
    IMO getting out of this 3 year la Nina will work wonders in so many ways.
  11. EastonSN+
    Annnnnd of course the wave dies again in 7. We have a legit shot at lowest historical snowfall. Good to get it out of the way! Prolly won't see a winter this bad again in our lifetimes.
  12. EastonSN+
    I would never bet against multiple winters like that happening again. What evidence is pointing to them being extinct?
  13. EastonSN+
    I feel like the determining factor as to whether or not we receive a late season wintry period will be strength of this wave when it gets to 8/1/2....will it just die again right before 8 like the last one?
  14. EastonSN+
    I know there is a lot of disappointment with this winter, however you have to feel good for the western half of the country. Banner year for them! We raked for almost 20 years while they roasted, they were due.
  15. EastonSN+
    Negative 3 here in Easton CT. Pretty cool.
  16. EastonSN+
    Albany at 2 already.
  17. EastonSN+
    MJO phase 8 by late February?
  18. EastonSN+
    Find this very interesting, could the MJO hit phase 8 at a good amplitude by the last week of Feb?
  19. EastonSN+
    Wow surprised to see that many top 50 and 25 coolest out west. They were due!
  20. EastonSN+
    I personally do not believe in the warm water in certain areas will never change theory AS OF YET. I mean we JUST had an above average snowfall winter 2 years ago and an almost epic winter 17/18. Like I said before I will start believing if we outdue the disaster that was the 90s (2 above average snowfall winters and endless warmth).
  21. EastonSN+
    What? It's in a cold phase now. May be 8 by late February.
  22. EastonSN+
    2018 again. We DID get a moderate snow event during that epic torch so although it looks warm we cannot assume no snow.
  23. EastonSN+
    Summer of 2014 was cold and dreary. Remember bringing my kids to a carnival in early August and we all had sweatshirts on in the day.
  24. EastonSN+
    Approaching phase 7 by the 16th.
  25. EastonSN+
    There is still a shot if we can get the MJO to 8/1/2 in time (and at a decent amplitude).
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