EastonSN+

Yup. I remember it was always much colder in fall back then. Also, April's were so warm and nice it seemed. Now they are cold and rainy.

Last year the Delmarva had a historic snow season which was south of us too. It still snows south of us, it just always misses DC somehow (in the MA forum they mentioned that in La Ninas the storm track is always NE or SE of DC area). Also I grew up in the 80s and 90s. Yes there were cold years but 100% fact we had some really really warm winters too.

Yeah pretty sad (although I am loving the energy savings). I do feel like we were extremely unlucky in December like 89.

Yup, although we still had 1 minor and 1 moderate event later on that year, but the big storm potential was done.

Pretty bad stretch of winters starting with 18/19 with only 20/21 with above average snowfall. However we have been through this before (87/88 through 91/92, 96/97 through 01/02, pretty much the 30 year period from 1970 through 2000 with the exception of 77/78, 93/94 and 95/96). We will have another great stretch of winters again like the 1960s and this century, I just hope it's not another terrible 30 year stretch like before!

Yeah, also I think they put great weight into specific reporting stations like Bridgeport which reported a ridiculous 15 inches (official report from Fairfield next town over was also 27). Darien, Wilton, Westport, Norwalk and Fairfield all reported 22 plus yet the 15 by Bridgeport must have really pulled it down.

I think they weigh area coverage much higher than top amount of snow. 1993 and 1996 were extremely vast in area affected. 2016 was definitely right up there just a little less.

I always hated their method for creating these. For instance, SW CT had 27 for the blizzard of 96 yet they have us at 10 to 20. I actually saved the newspaper from it!

Baltimore Washington area but this is an article clip from the Blizzard of 1983 "After the storm, warmer weather moved into the area and the high temperature reached 52 degrees in Washington on February 15. For the next seven days, the high temperature was in the 50s or low 60s every day. The snow melted quickly and ten days after the storm, the only reminder that Washington had experienced a historic blizzard was the monstrous snow piles remaining in area parking lots."

I am still sticking to No Forky No storm (now I have Marley in my head).

Same 50% for GFS

If this was even close would have half the forum elated and half pretty miffed

Plus the December and March ones for 2013.

Yeah, we seem to be following the 89/90 playbook with missing a golden opportunity (pattern) in December followed by warmth That being said, 89/90 is ahead of us snow wise. The wild card, none of the mentioned winters had severe blocking in December and as others have said is likely to return, so there can be a window at some point.

I have a hard time believing there are people who do not actually believe we are warming. I think the argument these days is 100% human influence, 100% cyclical or (what I believe) a blend of the two. I think it's a fact that greenhouse gasses, urban development etc warms our atmosphere. I think it's a fact that the planet goes through multi century cycles, and we are still emerging from the cold one that ended in the mid 1800s. The combination of the two is warming us at a historic clip.

If one is a fan of warm winters, the AO looks like it's going neutral to positive, PNA going negative and the MJO may be heading out of the colder phases past mid month. Unlike this warm spell which has been cloudy and rainy more often than not, the above setup could be a bit dryer, warmer. We shall see. As others alluded to, blocking tends to return when presenting itself I'm December. Therefore, snow lovers may still have a window later on. Perhaps this February will be like Feb 2021, or this March like 2018 or 2019, even January of last year. In the meantime, enjoy the energy savings and outdoor activities!

More Middle Atlantic of course, but the Delmarva, including Ocean City Maryland, had a historic year for snowfall last year. Odd how that works (mild a lack of snow for us results in snow to out south).

If this is a legit threat, Forky will opine soon.

Not fighting on this one but my point was more to show that in a la Nina the northern stream dominates, so we get more "cutters" due to that fact. Was just using an extreme example to show what can happen when the southern stream dominates.

That's funny, for February 2010 I was rain for most of the storm only getting 8 at the very end. Not a top 20 for me.

This is a much better map from NWS

22 to30 inches from SW CT to Yonkers. 30 plus central LI It was a HECS for 50% of this forum.

No I think there is still a possibility. Positives are retracting jet and southern stream influence.

I know it was discussed that the MJO is not having much of an influence, and these charts are noisy and not too accurate, but they are heading into colder phases.