EastonSN+

One of those winters where 1 storm in December and that February gave us above average snowfall for the year! And a B- winter grade. I agree what's showing on the ensembles looks bad for a while. Energy savings FTW.

Yeah, looking back to March and April 2018 we had almost a seasonal snowfall in 5 weeks. Of course we had last Feb too. They were SSWE driven, which is probably what we will need again, but it has happened before and can happen again. In the mean time we enjoy energy savings.

Good morning! Question - perhaps I am not remembering correctly, however it seems as though almost all La Ninas have snowy Marches. Now, I know the shorter wavelengths in March mitigate the background state (enso), however I feel like El nino Marches teams to be warm and snowless compared to La Ninas. Is there a particular reason for the above? Thanks.

We deserve this one.

Yeah only one 3 to 6 in her in January. Can't complain only experienced 6 below average snowfall winters this century!

Worst part about this look, we are at or slightly below normal on temps (no energy savings) but southwest of the storm track. At least the storms will be weak and fast moving.

Looks very boring and relatively dry. Heck even in 11/12 we already had a 4 to 8 inch snowfall in the books in October.

Looking at EPS we stay on the cooler side, however looks kind of hostile for anything amplifying. Boring pattern? Not a MET so perhaps I am wrong.

Should specify on elevated surf.

Nice little snow to start the season.

First coating of the season. Here's to many more.

Just three of the top 5, 4 of the top 10 in all of New England! https://www.thefinancialword.com/10-wealthiest-neighborhoods-in-new-england/

Found the NAO forecast interesting. Large spread. Also the PNA looks like it's going to head positive again after a brief dip. MJO doing this?

Fwiw and it's not much, the cfs weeklies don't look too great.

Just looking at the stats without delving into the la Nina intensity of each bolded year, I am shocked that the distribution of above/below/average snowfall winters are even. I am thinking that this shows that we have a 50/50 shot of blocking establishing itself and determining our fate (as opposed to ninas where we can live without the blocking).

I know I mentioned before, but personally rooting for a warm December in hopes that it means the La Nina is not affecting us in the normal way (decoupled).

Perhaps this is a good thing for snow lovers, not ideal by any means but also not following the typical Nina response! Maybe better down the road for this reason.

This is why I am not too worried about this winter as of yet, blocking looks to be there to some degree even though the Pacific looks fairly poor. We are far enough north where a good storm track (coupled with a depening storm) will yield results. I can't remember the last time we had a winter of blocking with below average snowfall (I think 97/98 may have had great blocking but far below average snowfall).

Looking at your snips of this year vs. 2016, PAC looks a little worse however the Atlantic, blocking looks to be in a better position. Feb 2018 shows that we can get a decent snowstorm in a sea of 60s and 70s temps. Personally I HATE the cold but LOVE snowstorms (if it snowed in Florida I would be there already). So selfishly, the warmer times this century coupled with this being an extremely snowy time since 2000/2001 (only 6 below average snowfall seasons here this century) have made me a happy camper.

Thanks! Talk about polar opposite winters! Good to see we are closer to 2016 so far, two great storms that winter.

In my obsession with the blizzard of 96 and the Bridgeport report of 15.5 inches vs THE NEXT TOWN OVER FAIRFIELD reporting 27 (and of course Norwalk newspaper reporting 27) I looked at the BDR observations courtesy of the linked Ray's winter storm archive. Q. Can snowfall rate be determined by visibility? If so, what would .1, .3, .5, .8 be? 3, 2, 1, .5? If above is correct BDR would be wayyyy higher than 15. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/07-Jan-96-RegionalSurfaceObservations.html

I know it's the dreadful CFS. Monthly but one can still dream for January. Unlikely in a la Nina but whatever. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=z500a

This is awesome thanks! I feel like the biggest difference is snow retention. Was watching old home movies from the 40s and my dad stated "we always had a white Christmas, you don't see that anymore", yet our snowfall averages are about the same. Of course in each home movie on Christmas day they had the year carved in the snow pack. Technically speaking of SW CT however I would imagine same general idea with a few more inches.

1888

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwjqkaOkqYf0AhXTZTUKHWqtBicQFnoECCUQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3FEGQwI8KNSBMHqqnxH0gI