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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    That's pretty cool. I have no worries about the upcoming blocking. If I had a "worry", it would be the duration of said blocking. It's less of a worry though and more of a question.
  2. EastonSN+
    I remember 2010 progression with a cutter that made the dome collapse in Minnesota. Was chilly all month. Then finally boxing day came around. Results were epic till Feb 1, then more snow with the snow to rain in Feb and the overrunning event in March that produced 4 to 6 across the area. Snow in all 4 months. Let's see how much success is realized this time (conscious that this blocking is not as strong as 2010 so results may vary).
  3. EastonSN+
    Sure we could all strike out here, however I will take my chances anytime in December with the following: 1.) AO -3 2.) NAO -1.5 3.) MJO progression through 8,1,2 4.) RNA at only -0.75 Really all we can hope for at this stage. We will see is success is ultimately realized.
  4. EastonSN+
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  7. EastonSN+
    Found this. Yeah I see the hole around NYC.
  8. EastonSN+
    I thought NYC did good I'm 2018. At least 2 6 plus events. Maybe I am mistaken.
  9. EastonSN+
    Both EPS and GEFS have great looks for us. Hard not to be intrigued when both are showing same progression.
  10. EastonSN+
    GEFS looks great!
  11. EastonSN+
    Yeah - hope it lasts as long as March 2018, 2010/11 however as Bluewave pointed out, 10/11 was part of a historic period.
  12. EastonSN+
    What I like is the ensembles are showing exactly what you had alluded to yesterday w/r/t 2010. The PAC is cleaned up as the block moves west.
  13. EastonSN+
    Just checked GEFS. In line with the EPS for the most part with ridging in the Rockies and cold anomalies in the east. As Brooklynwx99 states in the NE forum, shows the NAO link with a ridge in the plains, then retros it to the Rockies strengthening the trough in the east.
  14. EastonSN+
    It's hard not to get excited with both Forky and Brooklyn WX 99 getting amped. Hope this block has staying power.
  15. EastonSN+
    +PNA forming at the end of the EPS run. MJO getting into phase 8 at a higher amplitude may be helping here. Gets into 1 albeit very weak. Lag effect puts timing about right.
  16. EastonSN+
    I think some are just spooked from last Decembers record RNA creating a shredder. This RNA is a.) Not as deep and b) positioned better
  17. EastonSN+
    It flips to a positive NAO?
  18. EastonSN+
    I don't have the EPS so not seeing this RNA that Allsnow is referencing. Is it so negative that we get last year's shredded affect? I thought we WANTED an RNA when blocking is intense.
  19. EastonSN+
    Why can't we snow with an RNA? It worked in 2010.
  20. EastonSN+
    Had same thing in 2010, so we can overcome with the right track and strength.
  21. EastonSN+
    Which blocking set up lasts longer? Or are there too many variables to determine? Forky mentioned this is similar to 2010, which lasted approx 6 weeks. 2018 lasted about the same. Both resulted in massive snowfall totals of course.
  22. EastonSN+
    I have to admit I am one of the posters that worry about how long the blocking holds before it even begins! Hoping for something as long as 2018 or 2010/11, however I think those were SSWE driven? One good sign is this MJO wave is getting into phase 8 at a higher amplitude than the last (and perhaps 1 at a low amplitude before dissipating).
  23. EastonSN+
    Borrowed from the Middle Atlantic forum.
  24. EastonSN+
    That could be a lot of fun!
  25. EastonSN+
    Yeah it's likely an anomaly since it is south of all CT and surrounded by water. Therefore, should be disregarded outside of trend analysis. Norwalk used to have a reporting station years ago. Hopefully a legitimate station to represent coastal SW CT accurately is opened.
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