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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Fv3 for both
  2. EastonSN+
    FV3 has first batch of 3 to 6 from NYC to just south of Philly. Slides off coast then ice comes in. North of there 1 to 3 then ice.
  3. EastonSN+
    I do not know if you agree, but I feel that we may be heading back to the December pattern. I believe the MJO was in 6 then as well with a negative PNA. What I find interesting is it seems people are contributing the negatives AO and nao to the SSWE. However, we had a negative NAO in December before the SSWE. Perhaps we get one more crack with the December pattern revisit.
  4. EastonSN+
    Watch the v.16 be way more consistent run to run than any other model. Even took EURO to the woodshed during the blizzard
  5. EastonSN+
    We don't hate it. For me I just want the plain truth with no bias to warm cold rainy or snowy. I think you are doing just that stating what you see.
  6. EastonSN+
    Cmc
  7. EastonSN+
    Looks like we get more snow from Thursday storm on 12z euro than 0z.
  8. EastonSN+
    Oh I hope. My go to model is GFS v.16 it absolutely nailed the blizzard and follow up storm.
  9. EastonSN+
    GFS v.16 has been steady as a rock. Absolutely no point in using the old version.
  10. EastonSN+
    This winter is a win already with getting to average. However it looks like I may have seen my last inch of snow looking at the LR guidance after 2 days ago it looked like deep winter into March. The way it ended is what bothers me. So abruptly.
  11. EastonSN+
    Couple things I learned were not true. Long periods of blocking do not always end in a good snowstorm. Models sometimes are correct in rushing the break down of a pattern. I am all for melting and warmer weather. However I still want 6 more to get to 40.
  12. EastonSN+
    We did get a 4 inch event. Not sure if it was late Feb or March that year.
  13. EastonSN+
    I really really hope CMC is off its rocker. With my snowpack and iced gutters gonna be some problems.
  14. EastonSN+
    CMC
  15. EastonSN+
  16. EastonSN+
    Do you think if the Tuesday system cuts a little west and amps up, it will increase the chances of snow for Friday and it could block the Friday system from cutting west? Maybe that's why although Tuesdays system is trending wetter, Fridays system is trending a little whiter.
  17. EastonSN+
    You know someone is going to state "delayed but not denied"
  18. EastonSN+
    I wonder if someone will claim victory if the 2nd half of Feb turns into a Nina look after all this snow.
  19. EastonSN+
    Thanks. Do they still publish the EPO or was that discontinued? I feel that the main difference between Jan and Feb was the EPO going negative and flipping the Canadian air.
  20. EastonSN+
    Wow that's crazy. 2017/2018 was a top 5 winter for me and 2016/2017 was over 40. Surprised you did not crack 40 or 50 either of those years.
  21. EastonSN+
    Yeah not saying we don't scrap our way to 40 (I am at 34 now which is average for my area), I am more disappointed in the fact that usually when blocking breaks down we get a hecs or mecs, especially if the blocking hits historic levels. We may get couple inches here or there to 40, and we all know March is a roll of the dice no matter the background state, just wanted this historic blocking to go out with a bang.
  22. EastonSN+
    Meh. Disappointing end to the historic negative AO cycle. Yes this IS a melt.
  23. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt. What a massive disappointment for the end of the historic blocking period. Usually blocking ends with a snowstorm. Happy that we at least reached average snowfall for winter.
  24. EastonSN+
    V 16 is about the same.
  25. EastonSN+
    Good news is v.16 went south too. All snow for SNE and the V.16 is much more accurate. This still reminds me of the 2007 slizzard though. 6 inches of pure sleet.
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