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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Agreed this entire setup seems funky to me. Great banana high pressure and AO blocks the storm from running over us, yet the h5 look we are definitely east of the trough.
  2. EastonSN+
    No melt just want professional analysis on long range.
  3. EastonSN+
    Hope it's a reload and not a flip. Probably 3 to 6 before ice on south coast on GFS depiction.
  4. EastonSN+
    Don't like GFS. Turns south coast to ice after thump. Then rain and potential flooding on the system a few days later?
  5. EastonSN+
    Wouldn't that signify the end of the blocking period? Or is the blocking merely shifting from the AO to NAO domain?
  6. EastonSN+
    2.0 in Easton CT
  7. EastonSN+
    2 inches in Easton CT on the nose. 1.5 couple days ago. 7 14 1 0.5 8 34 on the year.
  8. EastonSN+
    2 inches in Easton CT on the nose. 1.5 couple days ago. 7 14 1 0.5 8 34 on the year.
  9. EastonSN+
    GFS V.16 is all snow. Almost suppressed. Then a massive cutter to cause flooding.
  10. EastonSN+
    Imo would be a major letdown if we did not get at least one more 6+ snowstorm before the blocking breaks down (or blocking stays but country flooded with Pac puke)
  11. EastonSN+
    Good news is for both events the EURO trended colder and SE. Another tick and we could be all snow
  12. EastonSN+
    Don't use old GFS anymore it's almost worthless. V.16 is more in line with other guidance.
  13. EastonSN+
    I really hope we make it to phase 8. GEFS moves back to 6 while ECMWF gets us into low amplitude 8 then COD.
  14. EastonSN+
    Not sure what to make of the weeklies and ensembles. NAO stays negative throughout however EPO goes positive and some guidance floods the country with above normal temps after 240 (GEPS). Definate troughing over Alaska which should flood country with Pac air. However, unlike January where Canada was void of any Arctic air, this go around it should take a while to remove the dense cold air from Eastern Canada. I guess worst case is we eventually go back to the Jan pattern with a better source region.
  15. EastonSN+
    Not sure what to make of the weeklies and ensembles. NAO stays negative throughout however EPO goes positive and some guidance floods the country with above normal temps after 240 (GEPS). Definate troughing over Alaska which should flood country with Pac air. However, unlike January where Canada was void of any Arctic air, this go around it should take a while to remove the dense cold air from Eastern Canada. I guess worst case is we eventually go back to the Jan pattern with a better source region.
  16. EastonSN+
    That would the the worst ice storm for this forum in decades
  17. EastonSN+
    Getting a bit annoyed with the modelling showing storms coming up and causing mix and rain in lieu of snow.
  18. EastonSN+
    Had 1.5 inches this morning in Easton. Same for Fairfield on the coast.
  19. EastonSN+
    U would think we would get a shot at a good snow event with the massive AO spike expected mid month.
  20. EastonSN+
    What are your thoughts on the large AO spike? Do you think it will drop again or is this the start of the break down.
  21. EastonSN+
    AO looks like it may spike positive mid month. Big storm?
  22. EastonSN+
    1.5 otg Easton CT. Dry slot now. 32 on the year
  23. EastonSN+
    1.5 otg Easton CT. Dry slot now. 32 on the year.
  24. EastonSN+
    That would be a kick in the.... If we get this blocking and frigid air and we rain.
  25. EastonSN+
    Thanks Bluewave. TBH, was a little disappointed in the ensembles. Although a weakened block remains in place throughout, the temps look to warm which I believe is due to a positive EPO. I feel that it is moving back to the Jan look.
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