EastonSN+

Perhaps lining up for this period. Maybe the ridge east helps us this time.

Coupled without an RNA?

Maybe seeing the beginning of the Blocking return?

Yeah, IMBY only 3 below average snowfall winters each decade, which is insane considering how poor the 70s, 80s and 90s were.

Yeah, hopefully next time it will have less influence/not be there at all. I respect Chris and I personally do not have an opinion to which is correct, but you should check out Orh Wxman and Coastal WX Mets in the New England forum. Their opinion is the PAC is what ultimately failed us. Again NOT saying which is right, just that there are multiple opinions on why we failed, and maybe it's both.

17/18 was a top 5 winter for me. 1.) Had 56 inches of snow IMBY (average 30 to 35) 2.) Had great warmth in February (I love warm weather) 3.) Had the snowiest March/April in my lifetime with 28 inches 4.) Had a good snowy December 5.) Had a monster early Jan snowstorm

I think 4.5 over/under is a good snow line for January. Not sure which I would choose ATM.

Yeah, the late 90s were far worse than the past 4 years WRT snowfall. This year TBD. Will be interesting to see if blocking does return.

December was just bad luck that's all. Per my post, 2000 was one storm away from a wasted neg NAO. 2010 was one storm away from wasting a neg NAO. It happens. Where we live there are no guarantees. On the flip side, we had a good snow event in February 2018 where we hit 70 in a furnace this January has no chance to beat. So why can't that happen again this January? This past storm was too far northwest. Next storm will be too far SE. You and MJO should make a bet on the over under snowfall for January. Would you take over/under for Central Park, 4.5 inches?

Thanks for this. It's amazing how some months are a hair away from looking completely different. 2000 was very very close to being a complete shut out. If that storm was just a bit east/late, would be the record holder. You were correct at the beginning of the month when you pointed out that 2010 was way stronger than this block, and should in no way compare. In the end 2010 was a historic block. That being said, how much snow would Central Park have if the boxing day blizzard was too far east like the models had? Maybe half an inch? Goes to show how lucky we have been, and this month is a reminder that now matter how cold it is or how favorable the pattern looks, snowfall is never guaranteed at our latitude/elevation. IMBY going to finish with 1.5 inches. Amazing.

Emerging in 8?

Emerging in 8?

Martha's vineyard on TWC with ocean effect snow! Looks great there.

Yup SW CT did good on boxing day (16 inches). Eastern CT definitely dry slotted. We did have a 3.5 incher on the SW coast December 12. I hope blocking returns with a vengeance!

They probably figure that they won't need it all all later this winter

It sure is!

NAM has some snow showers!

EURO had some flurries for the mid week system

EURO had some flurries

Just flipped to some snow mixing in Easton CT.

I am not siding either way, just showing multiple opinions.

From CoastalWX where they are debating the SE Ridge reason. Just to show multiple opinions.

We are overdue to another whopper of a snow season. Yeah we had a bunch of over average the last few years, but another 95/96 02/03 13/14 is what I am after.

GEFS had a tad more precip for the mid week event.

Yeah that's the New England forum Mets thoughts. Ironically we can use the darn WAR for the mid week system. So we are now rooting for the WAR to flex. One too east. One too west. Our luck.