EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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Sometimes I envy Raleigh NC. Springs are awesome and great thunderstorms. Hell when they are in for 1 to 3 inches of snow its like winning the lottery and appreciated way more. For snowfall of course we score more than areas south of us, but it should be looked at at % of normal vs. total when comparing, also the trade off of way better springs than here. We all have weather we can be proud of. Man do we need a good snowstorm to look forward to.
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Would be hilarious if we go from RNA keeping the cold west to totally losing the Arctic and getting flooded by an AK vortex. Not calling it just imagining. It will snow this winter again. I liken not getting at least one moderate snowfall in a winter season to not experiencing a single thunderstorm in spring/summer. Almost impossible.
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Agree with this except NYC. They had a 16 inch storm and great winter last year.
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I think he is getting weenies for ALWAYS pointing out warmer/less snow scenarios, not cause a specific statement is false. If he mixed in a few cold/snow statements once in a while he would be followed.
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That's a better look for us than what we have now. The negative NAO RNA combo has been shredding everything. Like I have been saying bigger cutter risk but higher chance of snow from follow up waves since the cutters can now pull cooler air east.
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At some point we have to score a storm. This year feels far less hostile than 97/98 or 01/02. However like u said it's the storm track rather than temp.
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Was not a fan of the ensembles today but hey, just one day maybe they are back to being better tomorrow.
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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas
EastonSN+ replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
What are your thoughts for January. -
Agree. Looks chillier than now with less of a meat grinder look.
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I would take that over the meat grinder look we have now. Get the cutter to bring in cold and trailing weak wave to produce. NOT a great look but better than now.
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I'm sorry.
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Agreed and both would work here to some extent. Could be worse.
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That's funny. Both would work for us for different reasons. TBH I would take the EPS as the negative AO is shredding Everything. Sure we would be at a cutter risk but would setup trailing wave potential. GEFS could still work but more light event potential. At some point we WILL snow.
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Do you have the picture that's shows phase 7 in January?
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I do not have the EC ensembles past 240, however looks like a gradient patters sets up day 10 on GEFS with our area north of the gradient. The SE ridge would work in our favor battling suppression from the non stop Negative AO.
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Working in our favor. Phase 7 works well of us in January while IF it touches 8 we may be able to save February. That is best case scenario not a forecast.
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Imo the 6z GFS makes more sense, trailing waves are usually weaker and more suppressed. Hard to get a trailing wave to amp up like that.
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Love watching football in the snow IN SEATTLE. Wild.
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Would be funny if we get close to shut out then have a 2018 type March/April and reach seasonal average. 12z runs discouraging BUT ensembles look on track.
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I remember being at 58 inches with 3 snowfall events in March lined up on the models. All three sunk south. Only needed 10 to be second place of 67 from 02/03. No way was going to take first place which was 92 inches in 95/96.
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Sorry meant December 2013 I thought that was the polar vortex attack.
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Wow. Shocked 2014 was not below average. Like u said though our snow is more storm track based than temperature.
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I loved the look of the Euro this run.
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Good point. Looking into Jan already and we have a chance at our second accumulation in December!
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Yup. I feel real good about January as a whole.
