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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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Not saying we can't get a 1 to 4 inch snow sleet dump before we flip, but a complete snowstorm seems unlikely at this point.
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Issue on both is the position of the high. What's to stop this from coming due north?
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Teles look good on GEFS, MJO not loading though. Only downside I see is the MJO on the EURO quickly moves back to phases 6 and 7 by the 16th.
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Thanks Don. Would be disappointing given the favorable pattern, but we have scored big in unfavorable patterns while striking out in favorable patterns before.
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Teles look great moving forward. MJO on EURO only downside as it quickly moves back to phases 6 and 7. For some reason cannot get GEFS MJO.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
EastonSN+ replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ugh ugly runs overnight. Starting to look beyond. Not much past this storm on the models BUT we are heading into the good pattern depicted on the ensembles. We wait. -
Extremely nice! Hope that look does not break down for weeks.
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If I could lock that in. Approx. 5 here on that map which is close to what I had March 1994 system (had 5.5).
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At least EURO doubled snowfall amounts. Went from two to four here.
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Ugly. Hope the LR still looks great on the EPS and GEFS with no signs of breaking down! If so then plenty more opportunities after this one.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
EastonSN+ replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
EURO looks like this storm from the past. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1994/03-Mar-94.html -
For some reason this storm keeps popping up in my mind while watching the EURO op track. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1994/03-Mar-94.html
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Gets washed away, but what falls before getting washed still counts against season totals.
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This is a GREAT point. Models almost always under model CAD. So the models that show a coating to 1 inch before pure rain are likely incorrect. Even with a coastal runner we will see more snow and SLEET. Of course rain too.
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Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
EastonSN+ replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Great run for Pittsburgh. When's the last time they jacked. -
Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
EastonSN+ replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Primary in central PA instead of NYC. -
Monitoring a potential important TV to East Coastal storm: Jan 17
EastonSN+ replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Even further west than 12 Z. Ugly. -
That's more coastal/inland runners than I was expecting
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Great storm. Had 9.5 inches of snow sleet mix before the rain! Glacier.
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What does Forky think? He got the last one right.
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Lol that would be a kick in the #-$#- if the EURO is actually correct. Hopefully it's not.
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This can definitely be a coastal or inland runner, but there WILL be some snow before any changeover. 2 to 4? 3 to 6? Heck in 2014 had 12 before 2 inches of rain then back to 1.5 more
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Perhaps a massive thump first like 2014? Had 12 then 2 inches of rain then 1.5 on the back end.