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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Yeah I love hot weather and Snow. Best to get clobbered in Feb. Then flip to an early spring.
  2. Watch us get a bowling ball right in the middle of an epic warm stretch in mid/late Feb. Bad luck in good pattern good luck in bad pattern (yeah yeah I know I know multiple waves interference spacing fast flow on and on w/r/t this month).
  3. Yup PNA on a 30 day flip pattern. Therefore no reason to think we don't flip back to positive PNA March 1st.
  4. Meh. 2nd storm too far east for western 2/3 of NE.
  5. Thanks for this! It seems that Feb will be a battle between shorter wavelengths, negative EPO and RNA ++AO NAO. Probably warmer to much warmer than average with more snow opportunities than Dec since we will not have the Negative NAO causing the meat grinder (trailing wave). Just a hunch that March with be back to a + PNA similar to now with no blocking giving the 30 day pattern window we are in.
  6. Thanks. Given the 30 day pattern intervals we have seen it's looking like Feb will be warm and March the PNA will go positive again and be cold. Was there an SSWE in fall which led to the Neg NAO? I feel like the NAO being negative caused us to lose snow events which may have been similar to Jan 2012 and Feb 2018.
  7. Thanks. I guess one good thing about having a low a average annual snowfall total (30 to 35) is that we are almost always in the game for a hail Mary (Feb 2006, March 2013, March 1993, heck I think I read that 1887/1888 was a mild snowless winter with early flower growth before the biggest blizzard of all time in March). I desperately want to each average this year to continue saying "only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century"). Heard that the EPS has a more negative EPO than GEFS.
  8. Thanks! What are your thoughts of the end of the GEFS run below? What's good - colder than normal temps above us and minimal SE ridge. What's bad - no Arctic help at all. Given shorter wavelengths, I think this is a potentially snowy look. Thoughts?
  9. GFS cooks up another good one a few days later. Lets go for broke!
  10. Perhaps Feb 12 - 14 1899. A wee bit colder back then BUT the track was similar.
  11. Lol at 18z GFS. I don't think I have seen a track, result like that in the KU book.
  12. EURO has nothing for the early next week event.
  13. Seems like our only two options recently are sliding south and OTS or cutting.
  14. That would be awesome. One of my favorite winter months of all time! Conscious that u are alluding to the overall structure and not actual outcome.
  15. The only thing that will mess this up is another strong Negative NAO like December!
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