EastonSN+

No there were multiple storms that hit the Delmarva hard. All were too far south for us (and south of that EURO control map).

Hopefully MJO 8 by end of Feb?

On the Fairfield Easton town line. Trees ground covered looks beautiful

The real record is still in play (for the season).

To be fair that looks a little like last year for the Delmarva. They cleaned up big time.

Grass whitened here.

This would be the funniest way to go if CPK did end up shut out this winter. If it does happen the below would be perfect.

Now that's how you run an RNA. Woof. Hadley cell FTW.

Nice positive snowfall bust for the MA forum. Good for them.

Wonder what emojis they had to select back then...

Was 1933 the same as that was a torch too. Also in the above, is that a south based NAO linking with the SE ridge?

Amazing how fast temps climbing. 38.

1932 and 1933 back to back torch January's. Wish we had the H5 plots for that.

Up to 37. Thank goodness the kids are having an early dismissal

Wonder how warm this winters temp departure would be if we did not have a colder than average December.

Already up to 36.

Yeah I was pondering the head-fakes of this year. That being said, we are kind of following the la Nina blueprint so far. Early season snow for half the forum and neg NAO with potential in December occurred (the 2nd storm messed up the 3rd but that's another discussion). The warm/snowless January and potentially Feb. Late February and March are typically the other window in la Ninas. Sure we could go 11/12 warmth but return of blocking when occurence in December, la Nina tendencies, make me think that this could be legit.

Real still.

Oh man I hope so, at 1.5 for the season so eclipsing 2.0 would be a big moral boost.

I have a feeling they are being over cautious given that they have not had to use any this year to date.

From the MA forum. Found this interesting. Models are probably rushing this but would align with the latest MJO plots.

It's really early, however I have to start wondering if CPK can go through the season with under 1 inch. If will be difficult with the favorable period coming up as well as the late season volatility, however going into Feb under 1 you have to start contemplating. Per the below we may be heading towards phase 8 earlier than expected in February. That may be the make or break period if the 5 to 7 day window in Early Feb fails. I believe Phase 8 leads to Blocking, which would follow the guideline of blocking late season after realizing blocking in December.

Schools early dismissal. WTF!

The 90s are a better comp. IMO.

Let's give it time. When we stop seeing historic snowfall seasons to our south like last year in the Delmarva, or historic low temps like this year in Russia, then we know it's over. We can have separate conclusions and revisit in a couple years. IMO 2000 through 2018 was 1955 through 1969 with the bouts of blocking and east coast troughs. Now we are in a 1990s patter. Before the board explodes YES it IS WARMER.