Honestly, I think Don hit the nail on the head when he showed the ++AO stats and large snowfalls.
I feel like more confluence would have allowed an earlier cleaner capture.
Not over but I guess the stats don't lie.
I know I know eastern areas still look nice but if this is the result. IF IF. That's a massive disappointment.
Boston going from 24 to 13 is still a nice storm but this may be a bit disappointment across the board.
Yeah I agree I should have caveated eastern areas.
Its amazing how razor thin the difference between a total forum historic storm and an Eastern area historic storm is.
Me personally I want Philly and DC to get a heavy amounts too in order to get this on the NESIS scale which I think is population based.
This may not be decided till the storm starts.
I just over analyzed the NAM.
I mean that is a serious cut back across the entire forum but JUST THE NAM AND ONLY ONE RUN.
Nice storm still. Hopefully next run is back to HISTORIC.
No I am not looking at Kutchera.
I am keeping NAM in mind also but only weighing 30% as opposed to EURO 70%.
I am taking into account the EPS and EURO keeps trending west AND banding tenets to be west of modeling.
However yeah I don't think 20 to the NYK boarder and I don't see the SEMA changeover.
One thing to keep in mind was NEMO was in a much much warmer air mass. Not sure how the colder air mass affects anything.
You guys I am AMPED the EURO and EPS is even further west.
This storm is gonna have lots of good surprises like NEMO I bet!
GFS looks like crap compared to all other models relatively speaking. Any cause for concern or toss?