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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    That stinks. Here on the south shore was already on the line. Starting the 10th both the EPS and GEFS crush the SE ridge may be a good 10 day period.
  2. EastonSN+
    Borrowed from our NE Friends (technically my forum) 10 to 1 so shave a bit.
  3. EastonSN+
    Welcome! Taking it as you moved here after 20/21
  4. EastonSN+
    Latest HRRR looks good. Does flip however a solid thump before.
  5. EastonSN+
    Yup they meant to date.
  6. EastonSN+
    100% even 1980s remember Danbury getting clocked in the 80s while we had a quick changeover.
  7. EastonSN+
    NWS has 3 to 5 for CPK while TWC has less than 1 inch. They did just state on TV they will likely go above the 0.4 of 97/98.
  8. EastonSN+
    What are your thoughts for CPK accumulation wise.
  9. EastonSN+
    For CPK it still depends on the intensity of the thump before the change. That initial band will make or break the forecast.
  10. EastonSN+
    Also, when you see sleet on a model it does not always mean no accumulation. It could mean 75% snow 25% sleet.
  11. EastonSN+
    Still below average and cold enough.
  12. EastonSN+
    About this storm for areas with borderline temps - it will come down to intensity. If less intensity will be tough with the temps. If it comes in like a wall it will overcome temps. Going with 1 to 3 for CPK.
  13. EastonSN+
    Almost! Courtesy of the MA forum.
  14. EastonSN+
    What a huge 24 hour trend north by the EURO May be the furthest northern now.
  15. EastonSN+
    Hope its just a bad outlier.
  16. EastonSN+
    18z euro?
  17. EastonSN+
    18z euro anyone?
  18. EastonSN+
    The bleeding stopped this run of the GFS. This time we have a 1 to 3 thump of snow before the flip. Low is a little SE of 12z. This run is close to what I am thinking. Time will tell how much of a thump before the changeover.
  19. EastonSN+
    Yup. The MA wants a higher PNA.
  20. EastonSN+
    Oh yeah I agree the PNA has to be -1SD or weaker.
  21. EastonSN+
    Big forum so half here can still snow well into March CPK can and has snowed into April multiple times. The 10th through 20th is not too late.
  22. EastonSN+
    Also check the Chuck posts I brought in here he knows his stuff.
  23. EastonSN+
    Can lead to suppression congrats M.A. RNA -1SD or weaker. A weak PNA also works.
  24. EastonSN+
    March 10-12 plus looks good.
  25. EastonSN+
    Anyone have EPS?
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