EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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It feels like a month that we have been watching/discussing for the return of the RNA. Watch it end up being a short 2 week ridge.
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Hmmm. What does this look like (special thanks and regards to the MA thread).
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I love the snowman posts. Its like a movie where he's the villain and your the snow hero.
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Coating of snow this morning. Nice. -
Coating of snow this morning. Nice.
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I look at it differently. The NAO in December caused compression and sheered all the storms. This is definitely a much warmer look BUT with the cold on our side of the globe a strong cutter will allow for weak trailing waves to make use of the cooler air and snow. Basically, warmer than December with better chance of snow.
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Thanks for this Don, a break from the cold with energy savings will be welcome! I am rooting for an earlier flip to warm to allow for a better chance for a possible late winter return.
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Even if we had a raging SE ridge with 70 degree weather it can snow like Feb 2017. Would be surprised if we do not see another flake this season.
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Not sure either. Maybe the MAM is for mid March on.
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Looks like phase 4 is actually cold in the east in March.
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Found this interesting. Looks like MJO phase 4 is cold in the east in March. Unless March April May is the wrong period to pull rather than Feb March April.
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Yeah I gave it a mid season grade of C. Still almost half of winter left can go either way BUT it may come down to getting that SSWE or not.
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Completely amazing Ocean City MD winter if this is true
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Yeah that works late Feb, and most importantly we do not have a deep negative NAO like December to cause compression with the SE ridge. Perfect trailing wave pattern. Amped cuts weak snow.
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11 before the changeover. Nice.
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I feel like 2000 through 2010 was heavily skewed west (more blocking). Could be wrong though.
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Yeah I get that chances would go down, but it can snow in almost any pattern. It's just impossible to declare winter over no matter what the environment looks like. Sustained winter pattern over, yeah I get that, just not it's over with no chance of more snow.
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I never really understood what "winter is over" really means. We've had snow in a sea of warmth like March 2016, Feb 2018, January 2012. Heck the book about the 1888 blizzard talked about an early spring and early flower growth before the storm (probably late season severe blocking occured). Even if we go ++++AO NAO EPO mega RNA it doesn't mean there is NO SHOT of winter weather or a late return.
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Thanks for this. Amazing the difference a small distance makes. I have had at least 75% snow coverage since our first snowfall in January.
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Mentioned in another post before, however the fact that the air mass is much cooler than 2018 may lead to quicker results. I remember the first storm was a bit too warm for snow as we were heading out of the February furnace. This year's constant -EPO may lead to a quicker snowier outcome if this does indeed occur.
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Thanks! Hopefully we do not go dry during this time.
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Everyone has their own personal definition of what makes a good winter. For me it's a game to reach average annual snowfall. At 50% now. Hoping to make it.
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Honestly the next 2 weeks look cold. Just worried about the dryness of the current models. Nothing is worse than cold and dry. Perhaps this is a pattern where something will pop up short term.
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How does the EPS look days 10 to 15.
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That GFS run got me real angry. Cold Dry Warm Wet.
