Jump to content

EastonSN+

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,917

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Yeah, I learned that I never want to witness a triple dip la Nina ever again.
  2. EastonSN+
    Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO getting into phase 8 at a good amplitude before dropping into the COD. This can be another good window.
  3. EastonSN+
    Modoki El Ninos are our top snowfall winters. 14/15 and 02/03 were El Ninos. If I am not mistaken, 09/10 was an El Nino as well. If you are talking about STRONG El Ninos correct. We do not want 97/98.
  4. EastonSN+
    Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO hitting phase 8 at a good amplitude before quickly plummeting into the COD. This is our best opportunity since we somehow messed up December.
  5. EastonSN+
    Correct, however today the GEFS also moved into 8.
  6. EastonSN+
    It does start with the SE ridge/NAO link but progresses to a more classic look as the month concludes.
  7. EastonSN+
    Weeklies went ape with blocking. BROOKLYNWX posted on the MA and NE forums. I mean a ton of blocking.
  8. EastonSN+
    I live south of Danbury and I feel like I get more snow than them. If I had to guess Danbury has experienced the biggest drop off in all CT.
  9. EastonSN+
    Yeah I noticed that locally. For instance, NEMO dry slotted then as did December 2010, December 2009 and a host of other storms. That area has been very unlucky since 2000.
  10. EastonSN+
    I saw a couple snowfall maps in the MA forum in the past where a little snow deficit "hole" surrounded DC almost perfectly. Snowfall accums we're east west south and north. I feel that NYC will see a drop off in snowfall much much quicker than all surrounding areas in a similar manner. Where say Larchmont will remain average in snowfall for years to come while CPK will see a dramatic drop in average snowfall.
  11. EastonSN+
    An interesting comparison IMO would be a 6 year comparison of the following: 96/97 through 01/02 17/18 through this year to date Outside of 00/01, that stretch was the worst in my lifetime. If next year is a super Nino, the 6 year period of 18/19 through next year could compare.
  12. EastonSN+
    I remember 97/98 being extremely rainy with a lot of perfect benchmark track rainstorms. That was an El Nino, which are typically cooler than la Ninas like this year. That being said, I wonder if 97/98 would have been warmer than this year to date if we had more clear day. This year we have had cold air closer by in the Canadian region.
  13. EastonSN+
    The LP was too far SW for SE and Eastern areas. Looped SE of eastern LI. NAO must have been Strongly negative with a positive PNA and negative EPO.
  14. EastonSN+
    Speaking of heat island effect, I wonder what the 100 year temperature change is for say Larchmont as compared to Central Park. We use CPK as our overall benchmark, however most live outside of Manhattan.
  15. EastonSN+
    New development this morning, the GEFS now gets the MJO into phase 8 like the ECMWF (yesterday the GEFS killed the wave in 7). So, if one is looking for one more window, there it is if it does indeed reach 8.
  16. EastonSN+
    Right from the 1997/1998 playbook, although that year there were multiple perfect storm tracks with all rain. History repeating itself
  17. EastonSN+
    Just in time for spring
  18. EastonSN+
    Just in time for spring.....
  19. EastonSN+
    Looking at the graph, it's shocking how great 2000 through 2018 were. Really the best period since 1900 to 1920. can you run that for 1920 to today? I do not like to compare to the 1800s as we were still emerging from the mini ice age.
  20. EastonSN+
    Can't wait for this background state to change. Hope it does not have to wait until another super Nino to flip.
  21. EastonSN+
    Given that TT said it would die in 7, and the last one died in 7, would bet on the GEFS.
  22. EastonSN+
    The EC has the MJO wave progress steadily into phase 8 while the GEFS kills the wave in 7 (Typhoon said this would happen). Likely the reason for the difference in the ensembles.
  23. EastonSN+
  24. EastonSN+
    IMO getting out of this 3 year la Nina will work wonders in so many ways.
  25. EastonSN+
    Annnnnd of course the wave dies again in 7. We have a legit shot at lowest historical snowfall. Good to get it out of the way! Prolly won't see a winter this bad again in our lifetimes.
×
×
  • Create New...