EastonSN+

We are on the east side of the northern stream low so flexes the SE ridge. That is normal in a la Nina with no strong blocking to force it underneath us. In an El Nino the southern stream is dominant and we we be fine temps wise. We absolutely have to get out of this la Nina pattern . Hopefully not too strong or we torch.

The issue is it's a la Nina and the Northern stream dominates. so instead of the northern low being weak and not torching our temps like an El Nino, the northern low strengthens and pumps up the SE ridge. We may get some frozen, but long story short we need an El Nino bad. This has been happening all winter, biggest one was the December storm.

This is happening ALL SEASON. The models replace a cold high pressure with a Low pressure NW of us. This raises our temps of course. I can only imagine this is due to northern stream la Nina dominance? If the northern stream is dominant, cutters will pump up the SE ridge. Last run This run

Wasn't the 2000s snowier than the 2010s?

IMO this is the biggest issue this year. We need the NAO to go negative again. Amazing how positive it has been since December 15

Thanks Don. DC has also seen extremely bad luck (if there is luck in weather). Raleigh had a historic snowfall, multiple Norfolk, Delmarva events. So the combination of warming removing their borderline temp opportunities and near misses has lead to an atrocious snowfall anomaly for that City.

Exactly! The end of above average snowfall winters will occur once we stop seeing snow in Raleigh/Norfolk/Delmarva IMO. The 2nd storm looks like it will hit the Delmarva once again. How ANYONE can definitely claim the end of winters as we know it is beyond me. Could it be true? Sure, why can't we wait a few more years to make a claim? I mean we have had multiple 5 year snowless stretches before, so CURRENTLY this stretch is not new. For me, the 90s are the Benchmark for futility. If we go 10 years with less than 2 average to above average snowfall winters I will admit we are in real trouble (snowfall wise). So starting with Dec 2019, including this year, we are 4 below and 1 above. Let's see what the next five bring.

Yup. To be fair it looks like the standard la Nina storm tracks (cutter slider).

Where we want it at this lead time....

It's so weird too as Norwalk where I lived was barely north and east of Manhattan (41 miles). I feel like East is almost as important as North.

Yeah I am shocked about how warm 1932/1933 were as well. In my warped mind I pictured pre 1950s as an Arctic tundra with feet of snow from November through April

This winter is more like 97/98 than I thought. The NE forum corrected me with the fact that my area received over 4 inches early December 1997 in addition to the March storm. Just like that year, we had the early December storm this winter which provided the same areas with a light snowfall. In both storms NYC was shut out. Obviously there are nuances that are different, but from a snowfall perspective it's amazing.

Yeah and now today it's delayed longer in phase 3.

Here another smaller one https://www.oceancity.com/a-snowy-start-to-2022-in-ocean-city-md/ Keep in mind this is rare.

There were at least two monster storms that hit just them.

Here is one https://wjla.com/news/local/snow-blizzard-warning-bomb-cyclone-ocean-city-maryland-ocmd-eastern-shore-weather-winter-storm-wind-white-out-conditions-snowfall-totals

No there were multiple storms that hit the Delmarva hard. All were too far south for us (and south of that EURO control map).

Hopefully MJO 8 by end of Feb?

On the Fairfield Easton town line. Trees ground covered looks beautiful

The real record is still in play (for the season).

To be fair that looks a little like last year for the Delmarva. They cleaned up big time.

Grass whitened here.

This would be the funniest way to go if CPK did end up shut out this winter. If it does happen the below would be perfect.

Now that's how you run an RNA. Woof. Hadley cell FTW.

Nice positive snowfall bust for the MA forum. Good for them.