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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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It was their record. No reason that CPK cannot break their record..
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They change but if it can snow 4 inches in April it can snow much much more in March. With the PV on our side and moved a little bit can be MAJOR especially if they occur overnight.
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Boston thought the same thing about limitations before 14/15 happened.
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Coastal water temps are less of a concern in March. You cannot say that in 14 those March storms would snow in DC and not CPK. In that theory DC would do better than Boston
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Yeah I don't get all these no more March snow calls. It literally just snowed in May. The PV did not disappear.
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Correct. It was their 10/11.
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It snowed in DC in 3 storms. We could have broken the record. Talking CPK here not coastal NJ or Brooklyn.
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I disagree. Our record is lower due to latitude, so we need less snow to break the record. I can think of a single reason as to why it can't happen.
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13/14 for CPK was 58. if March produced and was not suppressed record broken likely.
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Boston broke theirs in 6 weeks. Was a terrible winter for them outside of that. Also 13/14 was as close to wall to wall as you can get and may have broken the record if not for the March suppression.
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I guess my question is, why can't a setup like 13/14 happen again? PV stuck on our side? March less suppressive could have broken the record.
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Question. Why can't we have a wall to wall season like 95/96 I'm the past 6 years we have had accumulating snows in both November and April. Even a Dusting in May. May be slightly harder but not impossible. We just need a static favorable pattern. They are relatively rare but they happen.
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How about a 13/14 setup? That March with all the suppression could nail us. Perhaps we beat the record the same way Boston did, a 6 week torrid stretch I feel like 13/14 gets overlooked too often. We could have challenged 95/96 if March wasn't too suppressive.
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Records are made to be broken. I would put money on us breaking 95/96 in the next 10 years. With the same setup and warmer ocean temps, the same storms would have more juice and therefore higher amounts.
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That sums up 97/98
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It still gets to 8 before weakening. This wave looks stronger than the last 2. Will provide at least a brief window. We did have opportunities last 2 but as usual we failed.
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Please correct me if I am mistaken but I believe the following is best enso state to worst: Weak El Nino Moderate El Nino Weak la nina Neutral Moderate la Nina Strong El Nino Strong la nina
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Yeah, I learned that I never want to witness a triple dip la Nina ever again.
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Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO getting into phase 8 at a good amplitude before dropping into the COD. This can be another good window.
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Modoki El Ninos are our top snowfall winters. 14/15 and 02/03 were El Ninos. If I am not mistaken, 09/10 was an El Nino as well. If you are talking about STRONG El Ninos correct. We do not want 97/98.
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Both the GEFS and ECMWF have the MJO hitting phase 8 at a good amplitude before quickly plummeting into the COD. This is our best opportunity since we somehow messed up December.
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Correct, however today the GEFS also moved into 8.
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It does start with the SE ridge/NAO link but progresses to a more classic look as the month concludes.
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Weeklies went ape with blocking. BROOKLYNWX posted on the MA and NE forums. I mean a ton of blocking.
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I live south of Danbury and I feel like I get more snow than them. If I had to guess Danbury has experienced the biggest drop off in all CT.
