qg_omega

Right on

“With the AO currently serving as the "king" of the Northern Hemisphere pattern, weakening of the AO domain blocking, could provide the first tangible evidence that a pattern change toward milder weather is imminent. For now, even as a milder than normal December appears more likely than not, the timing of the necessary pattern change remains uncertain.” To be fair, at the beginning of November you wrote chances of an above normal November were likely (70 percent if I recall) was strong consensus of warmth to possibly really warm in the second half of this month.

YTD snow?

Saranac lake last night, lol

Very impressive, those who went calm last night really had impressive cold. Lake placid -9 was that a record?

I’ll send at next record high

Record November cold usually results in record warmth later on.....

They are starting to really limit road salt in the Adirondacks, mainly sand is now used

How much snow on Mt. Tolland?

It’s flurries and the column is drying out as we downslope, this is Not an anafront setup as stated many times, down by DC and VA the jet is more supportive of back building

Vehemently disagree

Heavy burst of snow is not likely, most won’t even see the possible change to snow. There is nothing here that supports an anafront

Seeing a lot of similarities to last winter with cold / warmth and rain / cold

No

Friend just landed at JFK said turbulence was really bad around 3k feet plane was getting bounced around real hard

Winds tad lower now at jfk compared to earlier think we stabilized a bit and strengthen the inversion as sun is going down

I’m surprised they aren’t harping more given its Halloween night

We damage

JFK ripping to 40mph already, think they make a run at 60mph out of the south tonight. That can cause damage given the direction

Been very wet past few weeks, backyard is muddy

They are stopping salt use up in the Lake George (Adirondacks) area due to runoff into the lake. Just sand this winter, they put up road signs that just say Ice.

You sure those are thunderstorms?

Maybe some sun this afternoon into evening?

Its rain should pass south of the New York City Metro area later tomorrow and tomorrow night. There is a small chance that a few showers could reach the area. Parts of the Middle Atlantic region including Washington and Baltimore could see a period of rain from Nestor. It’s raining to Canada.... almost every model busted?