qg_omega

This looks a tad different

Major was also hit at Jamaica Bay

It's bad for us, promotes a strong PV

Agreed, most of the area sees winds in the 30s, some spots that can get mixing may see close to 50.

Where can I find the surge forecast for Jamaica Bay?

Storm still looking like a run of the mill Noreaster, its very weak I would not expect any winds over 50 mph anywhere even on the coast.

Saturday evening high tide looks most impacted but like bluewave stated it's about a foot lower than Saturday morning

Jamaica Bay: Sat Oct 27 10:37am 6.23 ft High Tide Sat Oct 27 5:11pm -0.06 ft Low Tide Sat Oct 27 11:14pm 5.21 ft High Tide Sun Oct 28 5:08am 0.04 ft Low Tide Sun Oct 28 11:26am 6.12 ft High Tide

It a shell of the storm modeled a few days ago, maybe the phasing aligns better in later runs but its very sloppy at the moment.

The storm is very weak, those winds are offshore we should have a strong inversion, unless that breaks winds shouldn't gust higher than the 30s. The storm last weak was modeled in the 970s.

Very weak on all models

The Catskills received snow last week.

Looks like Matthew misses to the Southeast as of now

I have had zero sun this weekend, awful forecast by all

Just had a house shaker and the rain is relentless

Getting destroyed

So much for no rain this week lol

What happened to all the calls of mean trough in East, remember the eps was "locked" in two weeks ago and every met was talking about it.

Old Howard Beach this morning by the subway

Getting a cat 4 coming in from the SE is almost impossible, pressure wise sandy was the strongest storm ever to hit our area. The size of the surge was also historic in terms of coastline impacted. Winds also remained on shore after landfall given it's landfall location and direction. All very unusual and historic

Nope, completely disagree. Our biggest storms are hybrid, pure tropical is garbage up here. Sandy storm surge was highest ever. 1938 was not pure tropical, pure tropical would not be moving 40+, only can get captured and sling for that to happen, that's Sandy and it's position was worst case for us. /End

Sandy was worst case from Central NJ shore to the Nassau/Suffolk border, any further north would have pushed that zone to the Northeast