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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. qg_omega
    I thought cutters ended on the 10th?
  2. qg_omega
    https://nyskiblog.com/gore-mountain-winter-storm-harper/
  3. qg_omega
    Models clearly showed the MJO going back to 4-5-6, many here discounted it saying its going to be in COD. That was a mistake:
  4. qg_omega
    17 inches, 20+ at Gore
  5. qg_omega
    17 inches
  6. qg_omega
    What a shift south, hundreds of miles
  7. qg_omega
    NAM has little for the North Country, huge shift south.
  8. qg_omega
    GFL has been a hot spot on multiple models 1.7 with ratios 15 to 1?
  9. qg_omega
    ICON is well south looks like UKMET
  10. qg_omega
    Euro moved 250 miles in a day, really awful performance by it. This is why you don't want to be in the bulls-eye 5 days out.
  11. qg_omega
    everything is trending toward the UKIE, there is no phase with the TPV
  12. qg_omega
    Ukmet shifted 50 to 75 miles, Euro shifted 200 to 300 miles. UKMET never bought into a phase and as of now it is schooling the models.
  13. qg_omega
    Looks even further SE with more northern and southern branch separation, whole system on Euro shifted over 200 miles south from yesterday. It's a massive shift and this now looks pure southern stream with no phasing
  14. qg_omega
    What a cave for the Euro and GFS, that's pretty embarrassing. UKMET so far is crushing this storm
  15. qg_omega
    Would pay for that to verify but I think Euro trends SE next few days.
  16. qg_omega
    It wont bomb like VD did (unless the TPV does indeed try to really phase in). Those high qpf's are due to the extreme thermal gradient.
  17. qg_omega
    VD? This storm reminds me of the VD storm many years ago where the dacks picked up 40 inches of synoptic snow. I think Gore had over 40 inches and this wasn't powder. It was loaded with QPF (over 2 inches worth). Euro prints 30-40 inches from the finger lakes to NNE. Was over 30 inches for Ithaca....
  18. qg_omega
    Kuchera snow map or any QPF map?
  19. qg_omega
    What happened to the below zero temps after the storm?
  20. qg_omega
    Cmc doesn't have Friday so it cuts. Stronger Friday is the further south east Sunday is. Still see the risk as suppression
  21. qg_omega
    Hour north... may be up there or closer to NYC next weekend depending on track hopefully it's clearer by Wednesday
  22. qg_omega
    PV press is my biggest concern
  23. qg_omega
    At this range I feel the bigger concern is suppression. I would rather see this more amped than currently modeled at this range
  24. qg_omega
    It will follow the winter pattern, either amped and rain for most with snow for NNE or suppressed by the confluence and VA snowstorm. Hard to say which one at this stage but it can actually be both in this setup with two separate storms.
  25. qg_omega
    Pattern is repeating from early December, big Mid-Atlantic storm tomorrow and another one next weekend on the Euro
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