qg_omega

That's locked as a rain storm, best chance is tomorrow night

Best shot of snow is Friday night into Saturday morning for the coast. Monday is a rain storm. Basically I like the exact opposite of what you posted in terms of snow

Agreed, wash rinse repeat

storm gone.

Calm winds

Pattern remains the same as it has since December, one of the most persistent unfavorable patterns in many years. It was well forecasted by some in December after the November snow and the SSW which sent the cold to the other side of the globe and helped reinforce the unfavorable MJO / strong pac jet couplet

It is I'm literally standing on the corner of 46th and 6th and it's all sleet. Do you know the difference between sleet and snow?

I am walking in midtown and it's pure sleet

They predicted 4 inches for the park, last I saw it was 1.1 at the park and the snow is done. That's not close, its been non accumulating sneet for hours. We lost snow growth after the first hour.

yes big differences, inch already at JFK with a coating at the park and LGA. This is the storm.

Central park is not at an inch and yes, this is peak snow growth. We loose the forcing and transition to sneet/sleet in the next hour.

That's an insane forecast for NYC, its like they have absolutely no memory and completely forgot their massive busts on every storm this winter. This is the same pattern and another cutter. NYC is NOT getting 4 inches of snow. The PATTERN does not support this! Maybe 1 inch of snow to rain and I'm worried that is high. Very easily could be a few flakes going quickly to sleet than rain. Last storm I went with zero snow while they had inches. The soundings are horrid and snow growth very poor. You have a dying band of snow/sneet which will be outrunning it's own dynamics, there is nothing good about the setup.

Not expecting more than an inch here in White Plains.

Nice forecast, I agree

How much in actual winter without the November storm

NYC had less than an inch last week, looks same tonight.

It's rain NYC and Long Island it's not "odd" the boundary layer warms right up with East winds.

Disagree, very straight forward brief snow to rain for NYC. Inch of snow with a bit of rain at the end is an easy call.

Rain

NYC will be mostly rain, snows will be well north.

There was no real negative nao this winter despite those higher hights over Greenland

For when? Tomorrow night? No shot. It's north and mostly rain / white rain for NYC.

Most of NYC now above freezing

my snow amounts were bang on, low level cold was a tad more impressive than i thought but the end result is the same. NYC will be raining by 7pm. My thoughts on mid level warmth severely reducing the snow to a 1-2 hr period was bang on.

1 inch for the park. .8 for the aiports, upton on twitter this morning had 3-6. Also had 5 inches at White Plains this MORNING. These totals are spot on what I predicted on Sunday. I mean its not even close.