Spartman

Did sneak in one more 90-degree day earlier before the clouds rolled in. That's it on the 90s for the year. Looking like a pretty dreary stretch incoming through the week. Gonna be ugly.

Hit 93 again today. Last day of the September heatwave and looks to be the final 90-degree day for the year.

Next week's going to be a wash. If we're going to be active all next week, we might as well have a cutoff low because GFS is hinting it during a good portion of next week into next weekend followed by potential tropical remnants around the end of the month.

zzzzzz

Models hinting a blocking pattern over the weekend as soon as the remnants of TS Francine arrive and stall through early next week, resulting in what's going to be a pretty dreary stretch. GFS 12z: Euro 12z:

000 SXUS71 KILN 302152 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 0509 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2024 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 DEGREES WAS SET AT DAYTON OH TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 96 DEGREES SET IN 1898. $$ Last day of the heatwave and hottest day of the year. With clouds and rain tomorrow, it's going to be a sucky end to the month.

ZZZZZZZZ

Hit 90 to kick off the month, but things are now going downhill.

August starting off like a lion

89'd to end July. Hard to believe the hottest month of the year will have less 90's than June.

Don't know how well CPC's outlook is going to work out, but the month starts so active with no real heat on the horizon. Models try to cut off an upper low on Friday. 12z GFS: 12z NAM: 12z Euro:

La Niña cancel

Already writing off August?

Today looks to be the crappiest of the active week. With the cloud cover around and upcoming MCS, get ready to be stuck in the 70s for an early Fall-like look the entire day today.

Topped out at 91 before the clouds came in. 10th one this year.

The upcoming week is going to be a washout.

Surprisingly tagged the 9th 90 of the year today. Currently tied with the total of 90-degree days of last year. As for rain from the MCS that was supposed to arrive, only got a trace. With the upcoming MCV tomorrow, forecast rainfall totals seem to be lowered a little bit. 06z NAM:

89'd 3 days in a row. What a joke. August, please.

Now, all 90-degree highs have been dropped for the upcoming week. No more for the foreseeable future. Time to write off the rest of the month.

The Twin Cities had only a few 90 degree days in 1992 vs none in 1993.

What about too many recent volcano eruptions, especially the Hunga Tonga eruption back in 2022? Only one real heat wave so far this year, and it was last month.

Northern Indiana AFD The remnants of Beryl continue shifting northeastward into the eastern Great Lakes and eastern Ontario between today and this evening. An area of low level f-gen banding paired with a low level theta-e gradient in conjunction with large scale ascent on the western periphery of the low pressure center serves as the main forcing for the remaining rain this morning. This forcing coincides with sfc dew points around 70F, 850 mb dew points between 10 and 15C, and PWATs dropping from above 2 inches overnight to around 1.75 inch today. This allows for an additional 0.5 inch to 3 inches in the main rain band area north of US-24. 12.09 SPC HREF was still showing LPMM 24 hr rainfall totals (a realistic potential high end) of 3 to 7 inches in that swath which essentially runs from start to end. Much lower QPF totals south of US-24 reach 0.25 inch at most as the dry slot begins to move in this morning through today. Rivers have seen some impact from the rain with rises observed and forecasts taking some Kankakee and St Joseph basin rivers into action and minor flood stage heights. Some initial reports in Berrien county had 3 to 5 inch totals as early as 10pm last night. Now, as the comma head begins to move away, a 6 hr pressure rise area moves through the forecast area starting around 13 and moving out around 21z or so this evening. At the same time, a negative theta-e advection airmass in the form of both cold and dry advection takes place midday into the afternoon. So the question becomes do we clear out the clouds enough to start getting enough mixing into the low level jet. With the comma head lingering over areas west of IN-15 this morning am leery of clearing cloud cover too much yet. We`re also missing that boundary like we have in the spring/fall months to really get the isentropic down glide for a wind advisory event that we`re used to. As such, gusts between 30 and 40 mph could become common with sporadic gusts to around 45 mph during this period. With how wet the ground is north of US-24, could see sporadic wind damage reports from this as the moist ground is loosened and trees topple over. Have handled this with an SPS.