This thread should actually be extended to December 2nd (Tuesday) since it would last through at least that said morning.
Not much on the 12z Euro:
A bit juicy on the 00z NAM:
So-so on the 18z GFS:
The coldest low of the 1st third, if not the 1st half of December, look to be in the upper teens. Not much of a temperature spread, snow events or sun there.
Looking like a colder version of December 2014, so far.
A nice Friday on this being of those weeks of not much sun for the final week of November which will be followed by a crappy final weekend of the month.
Last October was the 3rd driest on record. This October was the 10th wettest on record with 4.82" for the month.
Top 10 Wettest Octobers:
1. 7.08" - 1919
2. 6.35" - 1941
3. 6.25" - 1986
4. 5.98" - 1990
5. 5.74" - 2013
6. 5.65" - 1995
7. 5.54" - 1983
8. 5.46" - 1926
9. 4.99" - 2001 10. 4.82" - 2025
Garbage pattern starting to take place in order to close off the month. Get ready to be stuck in the 40s all day over the next few days, especially with soaking rains.
000
SXUS71 KILN 080538
RERDAY
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
138 AM EDT WED OCT 08 2025
...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT DAYTON OH...
A RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL WAS SET AT DAYTON OHIO ON OCTOBER 7.
A TOTAL OF 2.45 INCHES OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD FOR OCT 7 OF 1.72 INCHES...SET IN 1931.
$$
HATZOS
Biblical soaker, for sure. That much rain in one day during the first days of October, is this a harbinger of what's to come later in the month?
First September DAY failed to reach 90 degrees since September 2020. The last 90 degree day this year was on August 16th, the earliest last one since August 16, 2009 and August 16, 1997.
Wet stretch coming Sunday
Euro 12z:
GFS 12z:
To add insult to injury however, models are in agreement on a large cutoff low coming by the middle of next week that is expected to be around through the end of the month.
12z Euro:
12z GFS:
Only hit 71 today. The record low maximum temperature is 67 back in 1930.
Still, mid-to-late August is just way too early for back-to-back days of overcast skies, for sure.