Spartman

Got 0.74" from the storm today. Suicide weather to finish off the weekend tomorrow.

Shades of December '14

Only a trace of snow so far of the 23-24 season (as of 11/28). Only 0.27" of rain to kick off the month. A day of suicide weather ahead tomorrow.

December 2014 says hello

A long overcast stretch to start the month

From the Tennessee Valley forum:

Looks like December kicks off the way December 2014 started. December 2014 was not only the least snowiest December on record, but one of the cloudiest ones for many.

Got 0.31" of rain, 2nd highest daily rainfall for this month. Up to 1.41" for the month now.

Next month is shot

It's going to be one of those weeks that the sun will be in much shorter supply. The upcoming weekend doesn't look great, either. The only day we'll have any luck getting sun over the next several days will be Thanksgiving. Overall, a pretty dreary Thanksgiving week ahead, with a few days of rain and some days of suicide weather.

Bye-bye, Winter '23-'24

A couple days of dry weather ahead, but it's one that will be wasted today. One more consecutive day of overcast skies today. Only one day of improvement tomorrow. We're trying to push for a long crappy weekend ahead, at this rate.

Looks like it's going to be that kind of a week where we'll be lucky to have 1-2 days of sun at all, especially on Wednesday.

No first freeze in the foreseeable future. Next month, perhaps?

Have some suicide weather coming up over the next few days

Remnants from Ophelia look to be retrograding towards our region, making tomorrow a day for suicide weather. Sun's going to hard to come by for much of this week.

IND AFD: .Long Term...(Saturday night through Friday) Issued at 259 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023 A developing tropical low pressure system just southeast of the Carolinas is forecast to move northward onshore later today. This system should then slowly slide northward along the Atlantic seaboard and slow down. As it does so, it will largely prevent systems to our west from freely advancing eastward. As such, subsidence between the two will lead to relatively quiet conditions this weekend. Surface flow will primarily be influenced by the tropical system with surface winds out of the east or northeast beginning Saturday. This should allow for some weak cold air advection leading to a reduction in high temperatures through the period. Expect highs in the mid 70s for most locations as opposed to the lower 80s we are seeing today. Less-than-ideal radiative cooling conditions may help moderate low temperatures a bit and limit morning fog potential. Clouds begin to increase late Saturday and into Sunday as a west coast trough ejects into the Plains. Most guidance stalls and eventually breaks down the trough before it reaches Indiana. However, guidance is trending in the direction of a weak cut-off low developing from the dying trough and drifting eastward. Moisture appears limited with continued east/northeasterly flow at the surface, but enough forcing may be present for some isolated showers or thundershowers. As such, slight chance PoPs are introduced from Tuesday onward. Ensemble guidance is is better agreement with the formation of the weak cut-off low than its subsequent evolution. Forecast uncertainty therefore increases late in the week. Despite differences in guidance regarding the departure of the aforementioned upper-low...enough agreement exists for increased confidence in quieter weather by Friday/next weekend. Meanwhile, the ILN AFD: .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Complex long-term period as the combination of the low pressure (TC Ophelia) and weak upper-level disturbances to the west meander over the Ohio Valley and surrounding regions through the entire period. Zooming out and examining the longwave pattern over North America reveals a longwave ridge axis extending well north over Hudson Bay late this weekend into early next week. This is largely due to a longwave trough becoming established over the northwest CONUS and western Canada. While there are uncertainties in the exact location of the feature, ensemble guidance (WPC clusters) are fairly confident in a closed or cut-off low becoming established over the region through midweek, before eventually evolving into a more classic Rex Block pattern (Ridge to the north with low to the south) by the end of the week. Due to the general weakness of the overall pattern described above, confidence is high that the Ohio Valley region will avoid widespread hazardous weather through the period. However, it does not appear the period will be rainfall free as has been the case for much of September. After the remnants of TC Ophelia dissipates, the breakdown of the circulation allows for the below normal PWAT anomalies to be replaced by above normal values. The values are not significantly high, but it does point to a likely day-to-day weather change, especially through midweek. Conditions are expected to be more cloudy, with occasional rain shower chances across the area. Expect high temperatures to be limited into the 70s due to these conditions. The high confidence regarding the overall pattern doesn`t result in high confidence for the daily rainfall forecast. This will be largely dependent on the location of the closed/cut-off upper low that eventually organized. At this time, the best chances are for Wednesday and Thursday, with ensemble guidance in agreement of a consolidated upper low in place. Over the next few days, the evolution of the pattern will continue, with chance of rainfall fluctuating up and down throughout much of next week.

Currently tied for the 3rd driest September on record.