Spartman

Some last minute rain to close out the month with 0.02". Final total for the month is 6.15", still making it the 8th wettest April on record. Top 10 Wettest Aprils (DAY): 1. 9.20" - 1996 2. 8.72" - 2011 3. 6.95" - 1947 4. 6.78" - 1993 5. 6.52" - 1989 6. 6.32" - 1994 7. 6.19" - 1998 8. 6.15" - 2025 9. 5.98" - 1964 10. 5.87" - 1911 Cincinnati had an additional 0.18" to close out the month. Final total for the month is 7.47", making it their 5th wettest April on record. Top 5 Wettest Aprils (CVG): 1. 13.52" - 2011 2. 9.77" - 1998 3. 8.36" - 1947 4. 8.20" - 1996 5. 7.47" - 2025 I had a feeling that was coming all along thanks to the very wet start to the month.

12z GFS caving to the recent Euro runs regarding the Omega Block next week 12z Euro has the Omega Block through a good portion of next week followed by another low trying to cut off near Mother's Day weekend, meaning no sustained warmth for at least the 1st half of the month

If only that happened in the winter....

With today's storms, now at 6.13" for the month. Currently the 8th wettest April on record for DAY while the 7th wettest April for CVG with 7.29" with only one day left in the month.

Still in the COD

Can't get any worse, right?

Already ruining the chance of what would have been a dry weekend for a change this upcoming weekend. Haven't had a dry weekend since late February or a drier-than-normal month since January and might as well wait until at least sometime in the summer to see a dry weekend ever again, knowing how this Spring has been. Hell, I'm ready for 2025 to be over already. 00z Euro still locking in the Omega Block over the weekend, although the Omega Block gets replaced by a potential Rex Block later next week: 00z GFS: Latest Long Term update from ILN .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period, with some strong storms still possible. The more robust activity will diminish through the evening as upper support lifts northeast and instability decreases. However, some showers and thunderstorms may linger with a weakening surface boundary in the area. Northern stream short wave will dig southeast Friday into Friday night. This, along with diurnal heating, will be sufficient to bring an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms again during the day. This will continue into Friday night as weak low pressure and a cold front finally move through. At this point, guidance diverges as the flow transitions into a blocky pattern. The GFS and much of its ensemble system are quite progressive with the trough, not closing it off until reaching the Maritimes, allowing high pressure to build into the region and predominate. Meanwhile, the ECMWF and CMC along with many of their respective ensemble members close off a low near or west of the Appalachians which then meanders about the region through the rest of the period. Needless to say, these two scenarios would result in a substantial difference in sensible weather. The NBM and the lag built into that is still pretty optimistic. But with the trends seen in the ECE and GEPS, have begun to trend the forecast to more clouds and low PoP chances. IND office caving to the ILN about the blocking pattern .LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)... Issued at 325 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025 Unsettled conditions continue with additional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms as we wrap up the work week with a cold front moving across the Thursday night followed by a trailing upper level low and associated surface trough on Friday. The warm front should be fully north of the forecast area by Thursday morning as low pressure lifts into north central Illinois. High pressure will build in for the weekend with an amplified and blocky upper level pattern developing across the country by early next week. There remains the possibility that the upper trough passing through the Ohio Valley during the first part of the weekend closes off into a low to our east into early next week. This would delay the arrival of ridging and warmer air by a few days and could cause a wet and unsettled pattern to linger but confidence is low in this solution coming to pass. The more consistent idea remains that ridging aloft and at the surface will become the dominant features across the region and bring a return to warm and dry weather by early next week. TWC/Wunderground is already hugging the Euro regarding this weekend into early next week. BAM bringing up the blocking pattern, as well https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1917255041062260887 Wonder how soon until JB starts bringing up next week's blocking pattern

ILN wants to talk about a blocking pattern developing this weekend into next week .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A robust short wave moving out of the Ozarks on Thursday will deamplify as it lifts up the Ohio Valley on Thursday night. At the surface, a warm front will lift across the region Wednesday night and there could be some showers and thunderstorms associated with that. Potential for showers and thunderstorms in the warm sector will increase with the combination of diurnal heating and the approach of upper support. Activity will wane somewhat as the short wave lifts away from the area later Thursday night. The short wave will take a surface low west and north of the region, but a trailing cold front will slide into the forecast area Thursday night. The front will not make it all of the way through the area until Friday and possibly Friday night when a stronger push comes from a northern stream trough digging into the region. Showers and some thunderstorms will continue until this trough passes east of the area. With the passage of this trough, the mid levels transition into a high amplitude, blocky pattern. A closed low will develop out of the base of the trough that moves through, but there is some potential that this low then retrogrades back into the region early next week. With quite a wide range of solutions on where a closed low will occur, have stayed pretty close to the NBM for now keeping the region dry. Temperatures will remain above normal through Friday and then drop below normal over the weekend. If the closed low stays east of the area, then temperatures will rebound early next week. 06z GFS: 00z Euro:

Suicide weather yesterday, it returns tomorrow. TWC/Wunderground now says it might as well include some rain if they have maintained overcast skies for tomorrow over the past several days. So much for the 1st dry weekend of Spring 2025. Normally we would have at least one dry weekend or two every Spring, but I feel that this is just not going to be our year. Even wet springs like 2011 had some dry weekends. The last time it rained literally EVERY SINGLE WEEKEND the entire Spring was in 2019.

https://x.com/indywx/status/1910651175004737801

Probably going to be a head fake. Doesn't look like any sustained warmth for the remainder of the month.

Below normal temperatures every single day for this upcoming week through Saturday. Tonight A chance of rain and snow showers before 11pm, then a slight chance of snow showers between 11pm and midnight. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northeast wind 5 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Monday Increasing clouds, with a high near 55. Light west wind increasing to 11 to 16 mph in the morning. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 24. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 43. Northwest wind around 11 mph. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 27. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Wednesday A chance of showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday Night Showers, mainly after 2am. Low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Showers. High near 56. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 57. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Yesterday's soaker: 000 SXUS71 KILN 060536 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 0134 AM EDT SUN APR 06 2025 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.65 INCHES WAS SET AT DAYTON OH (KDAY) ON SATURDAY, APRIL 5. THIS BREAKS THE OLD DAILY RECORD FOR THE SITE OF 1.37 INCHES SET IN 1936. $$

Definitely going to be a long crappy 1st weekend of April, for sure

000 SXUS71 KILN 030642 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 0239 AM EDT THU APR 03 2025 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 81 DEGREES WAS SET AT DAYTON OH YESTERDAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 81 DEGREES SET IN 1963. $$ First 80-degree of the year yesterday

06z NAM not as wet as the 00z Euro or 06z GFS: If only the upcoming system was a winter storm instead.....

BAM still on board with an April 2011 redux over the next several days https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1907055895877652665

Models and even NBM had the high rainfall amounts locked in for the past several days, if not at least a week.

April kicks off on a chilly note on April Fool's Day, but we're going to a warm, but very wet stretch the day after that will last through the first weekend of the month. A stretch so wet that many places could risk making it to the top 10 wettest Aprils ever during the first days of the month right before we start dealing with the effects of the March SSW the week after. Models have actually had such a wet start to the month zeroed in for the past several days. GFS 18z: Euro 12z: https://x.com/webberweather/status/1904243702932918584

JB considering this upcoming outbreak as part of the "busiest period" since 2011 https://x.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1906358608062788036

With all that cloud cover around the entire weekend, that could actually limit severe weather for Sunday.

That plus rain, storms, and cloud cover throughout the region. Going to be a crappy final weekend of March.

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/60046-2024-2025-la-nina/page/254/#comments From the 2024-2025 La Nina thread: This April's expected to have a very wet start to the month, but supposed to start feeling the effects of the recent Stratospheric warming by the 1st full week of April