Spartman

Today kicks off what may very well be a prolonged overcast stretch that would last into the weekend.

89'd again today. Still feel it's the highest it's going to get for this month. With the last 90 hit back on August 23rd, the 90s seem to be maxed out for the year.

Got 89'd on the first Saturday night of September. It's the highest it's going to get for the month. Almost all the 90s are dropped from the upcoming week. Today Sunny, with a high near 89. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 67. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Labor Day Sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Light south wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Wednesday Night A chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday A chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday Night A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Saturday Sunny, with a high near 79.

May very well be stuck in the 60s today.

89'd today, even with temps in the 80s pretty much the entire day.

Temps have quit rising about everywhere

Forget about a heatwave until at least next year. Only reached 88 today. That's it on the 90s. What's happening during next weeks looks to be the final nail in the coffin for the summer. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Monday Sunny, with a high near 80. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 71. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Thursday Sunny, with a high near 73.

Stuck at 77 as of Noon, despite clearing skies. Now I'm waiting to see when and if the Excessive Heat Warnings/Watches and Heat Advisories get cancelled soon.

Already got over a month's worth of rain during the 1st half of the month, we're pushing for one of the wettest Augusts ever.

Blocking .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/... While the synoptic setup remains fairly certain with a low northwest of the Ohio Valley, mesoscale uncertainty from tonight extends into tomorrow (Thursday). If the area remains dry overnight (no MCS diving in from Michigan), Thursday likely features highs reaching into the 90s along with dew points in the lower to middle 70s everywhere. This combination of temperatures and dew points would easily support the heat index reaching over 105 which reaches Excessive Heat Warning Criteria. However, if the dry forecast does not work out and a MCS dives south from Michigan overnight, the rain-cooled air and cloud cover in the wake of the MCS could limit daytime highs to near 90 in certain locations. Wet scenario probabilities increase further east of I-75. The wet scenario would still likely feature hot conditions by the afternoon with the heat index reaching up to 100 which reaches advisory level criteria. Either way, the main takeaway for Thursday is hot and humid conditions are expected during the afternoon. Whether the heat index reaches 100 (Heat Advisory) or 105 (Excessive Heat Warning), the risk for heat related illness will likely be elevated. An Excessive Heat Watch remains in place where the greatest uncertainty regarding convection is. An Excessive Heat Warning in now in place where confidence is highest regarding the heat index reaching 105 or above which is along and west of I-75. The watch will be adjusted in the future when the nature of possible convection is clearer. Expect Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories to get cancelled tomorrow.

Super MCS seems silmilar to a cutoff low.

Definitely another headfake. NWS dropped the 90s from Wednesday and Friday. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 88. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Thursday Night A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.

If we have not had any heatwaves so far this year, I say there's not going to be one at all this year. 00z GFS says heatwave cancel

And the real heatwave has been pushed back to the middle of the week.

12z GFS trying to lose the heat

GFS and NAM seem to be wanting to spin up a Fall-like system for Monday into Tuesday. On at least one of the days, some could be stuck in the 60s while some could be stuck in the 50s. GFS: NAM:

Monday's looking like a repeat of this past Monday.

Got nothing today. Ended up with the first completely dry weekend since the middle of June. Tomorrow looks to be our turn. Expecting to suck being stuck in the low to mid-70s the entire day tomorrow.

Should've extended this thread to tomorrow. Didn't get a drop today, but it'll change tomorrow.

Not often do NWS offices like IWX mention Winter in their AFDs during the summer. .LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday) Issued at 324 PM EDT Sat Aug 5 2023 The forecast 500-mb chart for Monday looks out of place for early August; rather fall or winter-like. The crawling MCV turned surface low is finally absorbed by a stronger trough digging in over the Illinois Sunday night. As a result, a sprawling upper-level low is overhead on Monday offering the chance for passing showers and cool conditions; highs in the mid-70s. Broad troughing aloft will keep temperatures a touch below normal through the week. A couple of disturbances bring the chance for showers and thunderstorms late Wednesday and again near Friday night. Early indications suggest we may be between systems next weekend, thus perhaps leaning toward a dry forecast. Monday afternoon: ' The upcoming week looks to be a wash.

There are many summers with a lack of 90-degree days that are followed by cold/snowy winters.

89'd, was only supposed to hit the mid-80s today. Highest it's likely going to get for at least the 1st half of the month.

000 CXUS51 KILN 010658 CF6DAY PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: DAYTON OH MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 39 54 N LONGITUDE: 84 12 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 84 70 77 1 0 12 1.28 0.0 0 9.2 41 230 M M 8 13 60 230 2 85 67 76 0 0 11 0.60 0.0 0 10.9 36 230 M M 9 13 45 240 3 83 69 76 0 0 11 0.34 0.0 0 6.7 21 330 M M 9 1238 30 340 4 89 68 79 3 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 13 280 M M 4 15 290 5 89 72 81 5 0 16 T 0.0 0 5.6 17 130 M M 6 1 22 130 6 87 71 79 3 0 14 0.23 0.0 0 6.7 15 260 M M 6 13 18 260 7 85 65 75 -1 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 10 350 M M 5 13 330 8 76 66 71 -5 0 6 0.61 0.0 0 6.0 20 320 M M 8 13 24 310 9 77 64 71 -5 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 7.6 15 340 M M 6 18 18 320 10 85 61 73 -3 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 6.1 13 290 M M 2 8 17 290 11 86 64 75 -1 0 10 0.00 0.0 0 9.9 18 230 M M 2 23 260 12 88 69 79 3 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 10.2 20 190 M M 4 27 200 13 87 71 79 3 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 8.6 18 230 M M 3 28 230 14 88 65 77 1 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 4.5 13 240 M M 3 1 15 240 15 80 69 75 -1 0 10 0.35 0.0 0 7.0 16 200 M M 7 13 21 190 16 83 67 75 -1 0 10 T 0.0 0 10.2 20 240 M M 2 18 24 240 17 83 64 74 -2 0 9 0.03 0.0 0 9.7 22 290 M M 6 138 29 290 18 83 63 73 -3 0 8 T 0.0 0 6.1 15 30 M M 8 128 19 40 19 87 64 76 0 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 3.5 10 250 M M 4 18 13 240 20 88 70 79 3 0 14 0.01 0.0 0 9.0 26 10 M M 8 13 36 10 21 80 64 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 8.1 14 320 M M 5 18 330 22 82 61 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 2.8 8 230 M M 4 8 12 30 23 85 63 74 -2 0 9 T 0.0 0 7.3 20 250 M M 4 8 24 240 24 86 63 75 -1 0 10 T 0.0 0 6.8 18 70 M M 5 3 23 60 25 88 65 77 1 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 4.4 10 320 M M 2 18 14 280 26 92 70 81 5 0 16 T 0.0 0 13.6 24 220 M M 5 8 32 200 27 91 77 84 8 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 9.5 18 220 M M 7 24 230 28 88 74 81 5 0 16 T 0.0 0 10.2 20 270 M M 7 3 25 260 29 87 70 79 3 0 14 0.38 0.0 0 11.5 37 320 M M 5 13 48 320 30 87 66 77 1 0 12 0.02 0.0 0 4.8 20 290 M M 4 1 27 290 31 81 62 72 -4 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 5.8 14 20 M M 3 17 20 ================================================================================ SM 2640 2074 0 349 3.85 0.0 232.4 M 161 ================================================================================ AV 85.2 66.9 7.5 FASTST M M 5 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 41 230 60 230 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: DAYTON OH MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 39 54 N LONGITUDE: 84 12 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 76.0 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 3.85 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 0.0 DPTR FM NORMAL: -0.10 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 92 ON 26 GRTST 24HR 1.75 ON 1- 2 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 61 ON 22,10 3 = THUNDER SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM: VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS 8 = SMOKE OR HAZE [NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW X = TORNADO MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 10 MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 2 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 7 MIN 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 3 MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 1 [HDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 0 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 6 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 23 TOTAL FM JUL 1 0 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 2 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 [CDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 349 DPTR FM NORMAL 8 [PRESSURE DATA] TOTAL FM JAN 1 580 HIGHEST SLP M ON M DPTR FM NORMAL -114 LOWEST SLP 29.74 ON 2 [REMARKS] #FINAL-07-23# Odd ending July with a -0.0 departure. Slightly below-normal rainfall, despite a wet start. Rained every single weekend in July.