Spartman
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The only saving grace during next month would be a SSWE like what the Tennessee Valley forums just discussed about the long range 06z GFS this morning. -
Only got 0.4" from today's "clipper".
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Won't be this Feb. Feb is 100% done. It'll have to wait until March for at least one more snowfall opportunity, but it's otherwise time to punt until 2022-23. -
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Models are now wanting to sneak in another clipper for Monday. 00z GFS: 00z Euro: 00z NAM: 00z Canadian:
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NWS ILN still looking good:
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Clipper keeps getting shifted northward on the latest GFS, Euro, and NAM. 06z GFS: 00z Euro: 06z NAM: Still good on the latest UK and Canadian runs, as well as the recent extended HRRR (06z) and RAP (09z) runs. 00z UK: 00z Canadian:
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DAY got 0.8" of snow, highest snowfall of the season. Now at 1.7" for the season. Still waiting for the first 1+" snowfall.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
CPC has finally updated their MJO today. After recently reaching Phase 8, we have fallen into the COD for at least the remainder of this month. -
Shifted back West a little bit on 00z runs of the NAM, Euro, and Canadian models. 00z NAM: 00z Euro: 00z Canadian:
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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February is supposed to suck next month. There have been a lot of talks about next month being very mild. We'll be paying for that next year.
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Already around the middle of the month, and I'm stuck with only 0.1" of snowfall for this month. This currently ties 1989 for 2nd least snowiest January.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Regarding the final third of this month, according to Scott Sabol: -
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Nor the 0z Euro
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Why not Spring at the earliest?!
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Not only we're be going to end up with single-digit snowfall totals by March, but we may very well go for one of the least-snowiest Januaries and even one of the least snowiest Winters this year.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Spartman replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Do we dare wait until at least next month for the first 1+" daily snowfall of the season? DAY's latest first 1+" daily snowfall is February 18, 1928 with 1.3". ONLY one time DAY ever failed to record a day with at least one inch of snow the entire season was 1918-19. The highest daily snowfall during 1918-19 was just 0.6" on both January 7th and February 8th of 1919. So far this season, DAY's highest daily snowfall is 0.4" on November 14, 2021. -
