Spartman

Hit 71 here, too. First 70-degree day of the year.

Won't be really warm at all for the first week of March, though.

ZZZZZZZZZZZ........ Monday A slight chance of rain before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 37. West wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Monday Night Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 32. Southwest wind 13 to 16 mph. Tuesday Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 39. West wind 11 to 16 mph. Tuesday Night Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Wednesday A slight chance of rain after 11am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Saturday A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Not to mention the narrow temperature band for the majority of especially the final week of February.

Sounds like they're hinting a 2011 redux.

Dropped down to -1 this morning, the chilliest it's going to get for this season.

12z GFS: 12z NAM:

Just below 6 inches total for today, but enough to break a record. 940 SXUS71 KILN 160608 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1248 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2021 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT DAYTON OH... A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 5.9 INCHES WAS SET AT DAYTON, OHIO YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 4.3 INCHES THAT WAS SET IN 2003. CVG only got 3.7" of snow while CMH only got 1.9" of it.

Wonder how soon until Winter Storm Watches are dropped because of the dry slot.

A crappy Valentine's Day weekend with no sun at all following one of those weeks with not many days of it. Outside of accumulating snowfall chances, looks like we may very well be fixing for the longest overcast stretch of the season.

6-10 day: 8-14 day:

Today looks to be the only day this week for any sunshine and perhaps for the foreseeable future.

12z GDPS: 12z UK:

Bottomed out at 7 this morning, now the coldest low of this season.

Meanwhile.................. UK: GDPS:

18z GFS over the next 16 days:

Got down to 10 this morning, the coldest temperature of the season yet.

February 1996 redux incoming!

12z GFS: 12z Euro & UK: ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ

Looks overdone if very little snow is included with that outbreak.

NAO going slightly positive for a spell soon before plunging back down to slightly negative over the next week. PNA is heading neutral over the next few weeks. AO remains rather negative for the foreseeable future. The MJO looks to remain mainly in Phase 6 over the next few weeks.

Very lackluster on the 00z GFS and Euro runs, in stark contrast to the 00z GDPS. GFS: Euro: GDPS:

Not a lot of snow south of Michigan in the long range on either the 00z GFS or 00z Euro, even with the upcoming cold shots.

February 2021: Wintry or Write-off?