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Everything posted by Chinook
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There will be a combo of a monsoon moisture band and a cold front moisture band. Models and NWS-WPC agree that there could be over 2" of QPF in the form of rain (or snow) west of the Continental Divide in the next several days. Chances for rainfall over 0.4" of rain at Denver look good. Wednesday will be the day when the temperatures drop to the 50s and 60's for the cities.
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
sort of a three-supercell complex. storms dropped 2.50" hail west of Walcott IA -
2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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You can run a radar loop with this web site, even many days after the storm is done https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/
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Buoy 42085 southeast of Ponce: 39kt gusting to 49kt
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a ship has measured 48 knots (55mph) near the eyewall
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2022 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The 00z HRRR for tomorrow has quite a few updraft-helicity tracks in western Illinois. Other convection-allowing models have some large storms, too -
I'm really going to miss watching Monday night football/Sunday night football starting at 6:40 Mountain time. That was quite convenient for having a slightly late dinner to begin the game and then having the thing be over with at 9:40. Right now I am seeing USC start a football game, just minutes ago. Start time must have been listed at 10:30 Eastern time.
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I think it is looking southwest towards Chasm Lake. Maybe somewhere on road 7? Wild Basin Lodge (Sandbeach Lake Trailhead) is the wrong angle.
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Levi's Tropical Tidbits videos are back!
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Now JTWC has analyzed this to be 135 knots, which I believe is just below Cat-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Today's HWRF (12z) showed up to 130 knots at 850mb as it approaches an island close to the coast that has mountains that could feel the 130 knots.
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Web site for composite radar in the Caribbean area https://www.barbadosweather.org/BMS_Radar_Composite_Resp.php#
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Here is a non-tropical storm with hurricane force winds and impressively low pressures (for any time of year) to impact Aleutian Islands, and areas up to Nome. (Forecast for Nome has winds of 45mph gusting to 70mph) this storm previously had been Typhoon Merbok but transitioned to extratropical at about the time shown here:
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Super Typhoon Nanmadol, at 130 knots, per JTWC, will max out at 135 knots soon. It will approach Japan as it weakens some.
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beautiful morning view
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For what it's worth, Reed Timmer has been streaming about Fiona for the last 24 minutes. I wonder what happened to Tropical Tidbits videos?
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Typhoon Muifa is heading directly into Shanghai China soon. Typhoon Muifa, 85 knots, as per JTWC most recent analysis. Wikipedia: With a population of 24.89 million as of 2021, Shanghai is the most populous urban area in China with 39,300,000 inhabitants living in the Shanghai metropolitan area
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A couple of the places I used to live got 0.76" to 0.78" for the September so far, including most from the last two days. Friday was about 59.6 at Fort Collins and Saturday was 53.9. I guess that's a little lower than 100.
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surface to 700mb stacked low pressure storm report: 3.99" of rain at Oak Creek, Wisconsin. Yikes!
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Hurricane Kay--EPAC Magic w/ Potential Impact on Southern CA
Chinook replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I'm amazed. The weather always finds a way to do new things. Radar based rainfall estimation shows over 3.5" to maybe even 8.5" of rain on the east slopes of the coastal range east of Tijuana. -
Earl had some sort of a disruption (Eyewall replacement cycle?) as it passed closest Bermuda at roughly 03z. Bermuda's airport had wind gusts up to 41 knots. Now, the eye has undergone some changes. At the time of this image, it looks like the eye is a heart-shape last night NHC discussion new discussion
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Closer to the -Rocky- Mountains, the much-needed cold front is moving in to central Wyoming right now with cooler temperatures, rain showers, and north winds with gusts over 30 knots at Douglas and 20 knots at Casper.