Maestrobjwa

I think a few people struggle with that on this board. But that's the nature of online debate and disagreement....

Turrible. Just turrible.

Let me clarify by saying that when I say it doesn't happen often I'm talking primarily of snows that are warning-level (5"+ And I'm only speaking of the cities (i.e. BWI) not so much N&W. Sorry I didn't clarify that part. Now admittedly...what I don't know how to do is how to isolate Feb 20th-28th and last week of December to see just what fell each year. What's the best way to do that? I'm more than willing to take time to put the stats together I just don't know how. I need to see how many snowfalls over 5" we've gotten the last week of December and the last week of February AT BWI. And btw I'm not at all talking about March. We got 5" there several years ago.

Don't get me started, lol Historically it's always been that way! Very few warning snowfalls during those weeks. No scientific reason for it...it just never works out. Even 2010 had a fail that last week of Feb, and then that which shall not be named happened the last week of Dec! Again, nothing scientific...but it's like sports when a team just never plays well in a certain stadium or park, lol

How did the AIFS look?

This is gonna be an interesting test for them.

Oh wow

We've gone from extrapolation to excrapolation

Wait who is that? Lol

AIFS remain south, though...at this point we gotta trust them more than then the EPS.

I don't know...Euro AI is locked in and in fact went even more south. Unless that changes this one is probably done.

AI Euro running away with the precip altogether...allllll the way south. I mean dang, lol Never thought this would morph into a total whiff altogether!

If the Doctor's AI doesn't show a hit, he'll probably be south too, lol

Yeah and we've seen these AI ops refuse to move once they get locked on an idea, smh I'd love to see a positive trend on those in the next day or so to have more confidence in our chances...

Wait when was the rant? Haha

Oddly enough, Round 2 of this debate has been technically on topic though page consuming, lol

Huh...OP Euro actually looking like it's AI counterpart. Completely suppressed this run!

Nice? Maaaaan ain't nobody but the heat misers want that right now, lol But a pronounced SER would fit nina clomo though...

Wonder how long it'll take before the AIs finally correct themselves? Lol I'd bet on Day 5!

It sounds like the problem here is more of a timing isssue. In the runs that snowed the precip came in earlier. But with the most recent ones...things develop so slow that the cold air is already scoured out by the time the storm gets here. But I could be wrong. @psuhoffman feel free to clarify

Well...at least this is an on-topic back and forth But still though...lol

Round 2...debate!

I'd imagine the El Niño could help with that, right?

Meanwhile the AIs continue to show something completely different...I don't get it, lol

I was just thinking the same: As long as it's not a logbook fail, I'll take that if need be, lol