Maestrobjwa
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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa
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Tbh I don't feel like it, but okay I will. Hang on
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I never bought the GFS entirely. However what I was hoping for was that with everything trending west to it, that we'd see the coastal extend over the bay more. But it seems to have hit a wall even while other elements of the storm have trended better. That is what is disappointing
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Oh trust me I know--I've seen it even in the smaller storms. Problem is I'm so far from even the notion of moving from where I live because of various circumstances. So am stuck in this climo, lol
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The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread
Maestrobjwa replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol -
Yeah I know. Imby sport of course...
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This is why I'm losing what middling enthusiasm I had for this. I don't care how tucked it is--if the coastal moisture isn't getting here I'm not interested because the norlun thing is for the elevations. 4" slop is not exciting.
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So 3" to 4" (and 4" to 5" in DC)? While west of here doubles? That's not improvement. Haven't been in the pinks or purples on the euro all day.
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And yet...these "improvements" don't seem to be changing much for Balt/DC. Snow maps still end up looking the same while improving west.
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It's the reason the storm is happening this way so it's completely relevant, imo
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I swear the only thing you pay for is getting stuff 10 mins sooner, lol
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Hahaha You and me both. I hope I've paid my dues of being gipped in the middle and can actually catch a break this time
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Alright so in order for me to have snow egg on my face, the final result has to reach warning level (5"+) or else it's still a bad luck week for snow
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At least you can actually USE your elevation now unlike the last 5-6 years!
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Alright so someone give their best guess for Baltimore. Legit don't know what to think of this anymore, lol
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Bruh look at this mess. That is straight trolling (mind you I'm in Baltimore).
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Yeah see this is the part of tracking where I legit get a bit turned around with all these various maps and models and knowing how to estimate where my yard stands. Especially in a marginal setup. Like some are weenie and some are terrible...and the you got the globals still. So for example if the NAME shows 15" how do I mentally turn that into a realistic forecast?
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This hurts my Baltimorean feelings. Whhhhy must I always be in-between?
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Does it matter much atp? Lol
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The February 22-23 Late Season Miracle: JV Disco/Banter Thread
Maestrobjwa replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
My issue with the models showing 6" is that you know because of marginal temps it's gonna be less than that due to low rates...and we wake up looking a sloppy 3" of snow Monday morning. So it's basically WWA except for Mt. Psu. Not exactly a great consolation prize. See even though I know it's climo and par for the course, it still sucks seeing them get their HECS while we are likely to go another year without one. It'll be 11 years next year. If we hadn't gone so long it wouldn't suck as much. -
Maaan it feels like we are gonna get unlucky with this thing and watch it slip off to the NE while we caught in between with rates not quite enough with the marginal temps. I'd love to be wrong, but looking at 6z so far and the 0z Euro and AI? Starting not to feel it...
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And the million dollar question is...adjust which way? We shall see...
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Ukie looked close with the low placement...
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Euro didn't like him either--and the feeling was mutual...
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Oh hey I'm not out on it...still one eyebrow raised! BUT let me tell you...if somehow this event flops y'all will never hear the end of it from me about the last week of February being bad luck for snow! Haha
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Euro is a dog...It coulda showed bad news last night but instead pretended to trend toward the GFS for 3 runs before saying siiiiiiiiiike!!!
