Maestrobjwa

Well hey your mountain could get something! Maybe some consolation for a month of fringes, lol

How accurate are SSW forecasts? Feels like we get a lot of crying wolf on those, and then when it's gets to the day it's supposed to start everything backs off.

Well the GFS was right last time, lol

Something that amplified wouldn't quite fit the trend of this winter...now that atmospheric memory is apparently real thing

Even though I'd miss the goods because that would be TOO north (gotta love Baltimore city being on that kind of line!) I'd be happy for them because it's been ridiculous and weird that elevation hasn't mattered the last few years, lol

This needs to be studied...I legit wanna know what caused this, lol

Might wanna put this in the other thread.

Guess there's some kind of debt to pay for 2018...lol

I'd still like a meteorological explanation as to why this happened so many times this winter. Is it because it's a late blooming nina? Do storm tracks get "stuck" in one place for an entire season? (And if so what causes it?). Forgive me, but...I can't sit with repeated meteorological outcomes that have no explanation, lol

Yeah that looks about right for a nina here...screw bubble of 3" here in Baltimore but look all around...7" just south of the city, and east, and north...oof! Glad I wasn't tracking back then, lol

Even though that would still be annoying, listen...at least that's a more normal-feeling result than all this mysterious south & east mess. That kind of miss makes sense, lol

I understand the caution of the admins and mods here: not so much about folks "crumbling" i.e. being tok sensitive to talk about politics. It's about the risk of the whole dang board devolving into what Randy's Hood became. At the same time...this is a rare instance where the line between weather and politics is blurry because something political directly impacted the very weather stuff we discuss because it's, well...the NWS and NOAA! So it's gonna be hard to avoid the topic entirely. Very blurry line there, lol

And all some say to something like that is a cold "Welcome to the real world, layoffs happen sometimes--deal with it" as if that makes it okay, smh

This dude comes in here everytime wanting to pick a fight with literally everybody and I just don't get it. I'm sorry I ever engaged...I try to understand some folks but at the same time I realize that some just have deeper stuff going on that'sunrelated to whatever is being discussed. All you can do is pray for 'em and just leave it alone!

Alright man, whatever you say. I'm not engaging in whatever negativity you continue to push here. But sir...there are far better things to do, far better ways to be towards people than what you've been doing. It's not accomplishing anything, man. But hey, we all have a choice in how we're gonna be. But no matter what...Much love to you, sir. Jesus loves you--God bless!

Man did you read any of my reply to ya yesterday? His reason for leaving was completely unrelated to any of that.

Now let's take a look at what you just did: Psu leaving had ZERO to do with models. And yet somehow some way, you found a way to assume that it was. I feel like you come in here every winter just to pick a fight about the same thing...and to what end? It just sows hostility, man.

He does. It's called "Hoffman's Mid Atlantic Weather Page" He said he hadn't been active on it for years. The post he made the other day was the first one since the 2016 blizzard, lol

Oh you weren't on here a couple days ago? He left the forum (I won't rehash why here as not to stir up the topic again. If you wanna know I'll message ya). That's why he posted on fb the other day--he said he's gonna start posting his thoughts there again.

So more like a Miller Eh?

For what, exactly? To constantly model bash? Advocate to return to the days before computers? Lol (But real question tho...is that what you're advocating go back to that?)

Seeing as you've been here for years, I know you know this but I'll say it anyway...Isn't this is a long range thread. So we're gonna talk about well, long range! Repeating over and over about model inaccuracy whenever somebody mentions anything LR doesn't add much...like bro, everybody knows the inaccuracies hence the term fantasy range. It's just looking at an area of potential and ya just see if it gets closer or not. It's just LR analysis--it's all low confidence, lol

Yeah but the geography didn't change, though...and we're not talking about being "too warm" either...so what changed?

Same here, smh. I haven't even hit median since 2019 when we got to 18.3". And even the one time BWI measured over 6"...here in N. Baltimore it never got there, lol I sure would like to know what the heck is going on or if it's just horrible luck. E-W waves like Psu mentioned have just hit the same wall over and over again...it's one of those weird things where ya swear there's a reason but there may not be. I mean...the same spot losing out and nothing changed geographically? Nah man it had to be something, lol Hope the next time we have a legit nino it'll finally break the streak. Until then...we up here have a complaint without criticism card as we would've had an entire decade of bad snow luck

But yet one that was cold pretty much along the way through and the little that did fall in our yards stuck around for a month! Weird indeed...kinda funny how I technical better last year somehow (11.4" vs maybe 8-9" this year). One of these days I'll get above average!