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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Sure looked like the wave got squashed more before trying to amplify
  2. Including the AIs. Interested to see how they trend tonight...
  3. Tuesday/Wednesday always seems to be the line of demarcation for weekend threats, doesn't it?
  4. Probably won't be the only model to shift toward the Euro tonight, lol
  5. Just the ICON of course...but shift toward the Euro. These waves during ninas have of no concept of personal space
  6. Little did we know how long we'd be waiting for our next HECS, lol Sheesh
  7. Nah don't worry all we'll need is 5 west ticks of 500 miles each to reel that baby back in!!!!
  8. It loves us enough to tell us the truth, lol (except last February). I'd put my bet on it having the right idea...hope not but again...it fits this winter's personality, lol
  9. Yeah but it's clearly a move toward the Euro. Not sure it's gonna come back west in future runs.
  10. Yep. 12z Aigfs has had a consolidated vort at hr 102 all this time...18z it's split and is later coming together
  11. This feels like something that is gonna trend more and more east/develop later and later from this model suite on, smh
  12. Thought I'd share this here from the NY thread, lol
  13. Ralph made a good point in tbe other sub...what some guidance shows today is something we've haven't seen all winter: A wound up storm. Have we seen that--just in general--in the last 5-6 months? Suppressed, weak, and shunted has been a more predominant theme than what we see on the AIs. I mean stuff can always change...but I'm starting to believe the idea of winters having a "personality".
  14. Hey @stormtracker I guess this potential storm is gonna be my thread...lol So Iet me know if/when ya deem it necessary to start one (perhaps if it's still there by Thursday 12z?). I have my doubts but I'll give it a shot
  15. Whenever we play that game--especially in a Nina--we lose. And if other guidance starts showing later as well then then it's in trouble. I'd be kinda stoked if I were NJ or NY though
  16. I suspected this was gonna be a wave 1 affecting wave 2 situation...
  17. Gonna be interesting to see if other scenarios pop up, or if it's gonna between a hit and getting shunted.
  18. Lol...I posted earlier that if this is still a thing by Thursday I'd start the thread in full doubt and probably call it the "Ain't no way..." storm
  19. Hollup...this is supposed to be my storm, right? The one where if it happens I will take the merciless trolling? I'll tell you what...If we get to Thursday and it’s still a thing, then I'll start the thread if that's okay with the mods. I might call it the "We don't get big storms after Feb 20th" thread, or the "Ain't no way..." storm! I doubt it works out but it's a win-win for me in terms of trolling!
  20. I do hope Bob's theory about the AO is right in that we may be headed into a period of more blocking overall after struggling for the last decade (I mean...we've had more blocking this winter, haven't we?)
  21. Had you shared a chart as to the timeline starting from where it was 50 years ago to 1f warmer then 2f warmer? (I wouldn't even know where to start looking for that)
  22. Not the 0z AIFS showing another logbook fail on the 24th (and the 0z GFS too to a degree)
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