Maestrobjwa

You just admitted it would be brutal, lol You know, that doesn't bother me as much as the whole setup between norlun and coastal. Unless that norlun keeps trending east of course

That norlun is the piece of this I trust the least. Screw it I'm rooting for the NAM triple phaser, lol

And then as soon as I think about taking a break the NAM does that! DANG it, hahaha

I was gonna say...I think that's the best QPF it's shown so far!

Would take this in a MILLISECOND

Well that just raised an eyebrow!

Sometimes statements like this I can't tell if it's a weenisim or a legit thing, lol

I don't know about getting 6" man...these runs have Baltimore barely at warning level and we need to get lucky with that IVT and get rates and that's a proposition we've lost on many times. We are fortunate to be in the game at all this late in a nina February. BUT...to your other point about the epic glacier? YES. That to me is looking to be the pinnacle of the winter unless something crazy happens tomorrow. That was truly remarkable...a 6.5 inch snowfall paralyzed the city for a week as if it were two feet. Bulldozers required. That is already a HUGE bonus for a Nina. I do need to remember that!

Well for starters...this And this And other such recent runs looking better up top and still the same crap in the middle.

Feb 22nd/23rd "There's now way..." Obs Thread

Obs thread. Eyebrow no longer raised but furrowed for now...6" snowfall in Baltimore or else my contention about the last week of February being bad fortune for snow stands, lol Hoping for things to work out! Congrats to all who score!

Tbh I don't feel like it, but okay I will. Hang on

I never bought the GFS entirely. However what I was hoping for was that with everything trending west to it, that we'd see the coastal extend over the bay more. But it seems to have hit a wall even while other elements of the storm have trended better. That is what is disappointing

Oh trust me I know--I've seen it even in the smaller storms. Problem is I'm so far from even the notion of moving from where I live because of various circumstances. So am stuck in this climo, lol

Man I gotta take a break. This is putting me in a bad mood, lol

Yeah I know. Imby sport of course...

This is why I'm losing what middling enthusiasm I had for this. I don't care how tucked it is--if the coastal moisture isn't getting here I'm not interested because the norlun thing is for the elevations. 4" slop is not exciting.

So 3" to 4" (and 4" to 5" in DC)? While west of here doubles? That's not improvement. Haven't been in the pinks or purples on the euro all day.

And yet...these "improvements" don't seem to be changing much for Balt/DC. Snow maps still end up looking the same while improving west.

It's the reason the storm is happening this way so it's completely relevant, imo

I swear the only thing you pay for is getting stuff 10 mins sooner, lol

Hahaha You and me both. I hope I've paid my dues of being gipped in the middle and can actually catch a break this time

Alright so in order for me to have snow egg on my face, the final result has to reach warning level (5"+) or else it's still a bad luck week for snow

At least you can actually USE your elevation now unlike the last 5-6 years!

Alright so someone give their best guess for Baltimore. Legit don't know what to think of this anymore, lol