Maestrobjwa

Even to my amateur eyes...that's not even close!

Awesome! Which symphony did they perform? (And which college?)

Good enough reason for me

Desperate times, lol

Yeah but how in this case?

Hypothetically, why would that instance go in the logbook? It's not like "too warm" would be the issue if that were to occur.

Perhaps in the Dsicobs thread?

But even if something odd/bad luck does happen, shouldn't there be something scientifically that you can point to? I mean if we get screwed I'd at least like to know "this happened to do this at the wrong time" or whatever, as opposed to something that can't be explained by the H5 science that you and others know so well. Even all our fails have an explanation of some sort, even if it is just luck...and unexplained fail would be even more maddening. Hopefully the models correct to something that makes more sense!

I feel like that oughta be on a T-Shirt...and distrubted to everybody here, lol But seriously...what could be the disconnect here? Is a storm just gonna magically defy what's going on at that level?

How about Baltimore?

I don't know man...have we ever seen a snowfall distribution like that? A beach blizzard is one thing when it's off the coast of Delaware and hits the lower eastern shore and SoMd, and misses everybody else. But have we ever had a snowstorm where you still had 8-10 inches central/north AND a 20+ inch jack to the south? That seems weird to me but maybe someone can share if it's ever happened like that. Edit: Ninja'd by @osfan24. I see I'm not the only one thinking that, lol

Been thinking about his post...so if the flow isn't suppressive...what is causing what we're seeing?

Dang it you loopholdian! Well played

Alright buddy the stakes can't be any higher with that guarantee--counting on you to reel it in

I can't stand the second of the two...weenie panic face nobody wanted, lol Axe thing is weird too

I'm totally cool with that! I think that's just me protecting my brain in case a bad trend continues, lol

I have two bars. That one for an all out win. 6"-7" for a bare minimum

That is so dumb, lolol

Awesome! What work are you going to see?

Jan 2016 was awesome from tracking to finish. When we have our usual modeling ups and downs, I appreciate that storm even more--I mean the EASIEST tracking with uniformity across all models for like 5-6 days. I don't think some of us realized then how rare that was! It's what we wish modeling could be all the time, lol

I haven't hit 20" in 9 years. I've only hit the median (15") twice in that timeframe. And all the last 6 years DC/s & e of me have done far better. If I was getting climo it wouldn't be as bad. But the last 6 years or so have been historically the worst that we've ever had. And 6" for a storm with this much potential is not an unreasonable expectation. Like PSU said, it's a difference between getting 6-10" and getting fringed with like 3".

More of an anticipation of future trends. I WISH it could stay the same as today's runs. I'd take that and run!

This. Anything below 6" is a fail to me. And a modeling fail too...that would mean they weren't even close to the right idea!

I mean, my base expectations were to break the 6" mark. Never woulda thought that was too high...but looking at seasonal persistence and the 12z trend...if you get another z or 2 of that it's kinda the same, isn't jt?

Pretty much the same story in Baltimore. Listen you know this winter is just bad luck if we can't even get 6 inches in our yards from a system like this...I mean that would be insane.