True...And just the winter forecasts in general done by even the more knowledgeable and experienced last winter...fell hard! And it was like "Uhh, we don't know why it's doing what it's doing", lol Last winter seemed to baffle more forecasters than usual (but perhaps I'm just imagining it!)
Harder??? I mean my goodness...last winter, I don't think anybody got it right (at least not for the northeastern part of the country). I mean it didn't do what anybody thought it would...So if this winter is gonna be even harder to predict, then just throw predicitons out the window, lol
A painful sight! Can't get it to do this during winter for...how many years now? 10? Lol Hope this is just on a decade cycle or something...because then you'd hope we'd be due!
That...was frickin' AWESOME!!! Thanks for sharing that! Man, how unpredictable severe can be around here. But I will never forget what that looked like outside my bathroom window (was literally taking a shower when I post power, lol) The wind blowing the sheets of heavy rain down the street...felt like a 20-minute hurricane, loop (basically was!) And then the absolute tree carnage the next day...mercy! That was certainly one for the books!
So...I know this isn't exactly on topic (although this is severe weather)...But I wasn't on these forums during the derecho back in 2012. How much in advance did the various know it was coming? (man that was some epicness that night!)
Man if nothing else...I wanna get to 20.1" on the year. That is the normal (average) for BWI...and dang it we are so close. Only need 2.2 inches...so this map, verbatim, might be close to doing the trick, lol
Hey @North Balti Zen @nw baltimore wx @BaltimoreWxGuy Let's all meet in the northwest corner of the city, lololol How Baltimore gets the tiniest corner here is hilarious!
Yeah and yet if the storm tonight wasn't going to bomb out...the Monday storm would end up warmer anyway, right? So it's a bit of a trade...where only a weaker Monday storm can give us snow, lol
Then we know what to root for...lol Now was the last mod/strong modoki 2009-10? (I thought one of you had mentioned 2014 or 2015, but I could be mistaken). But if it was...c'mon we gotta be due soon, lolol
I guess you're right...I had assumed since we hadn't had any positive steps the last couple days that this one didn't have much of a chance... so what saves this threat?
(And you're right--I know bigger numbers can be a part of a lower average...although I would like to see just how many weak Niños actually produced above average!)
Yeah this one looks like a losing battle (particularly for the cities)...Figured we'd be trolled by finally getting a coastal track...but with not enough cold air around, lol So is this it, I'm guessing? If so...we certainly held true to the weak Niño average of 15"...lol (maybe 18" if we get 2-3 tomorrow morning!)
Yeah I mean this is probably the best we could've gotten out of this event (aside from the dryslot hours, lol). Will still have snowcover to enjoy for another, er...24-48 hours? Lol
(Suprised ya didn't mention 2009/10, 2003, etc, haha) Wouldn't say storms like this one are THE reality, but rather what's more common. A big storm can become the reality anytime of year...but the likelihood? Very inconsistent, lol
I had a personal forecast of 2-4 inches for Balt. City....and sure enough we got exactly 4"! Lol Of course there's a good dose of "what could have been"-itis here...but still not a bad event!