Chris78

Just now, Weather Will said:

At 3 pm on WB HRRR, it is just going below freezing in the far NW suburbs! 

What's euro's temps at that same time?

7 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

Here we go, afraid these may be a tad high but would love for them to bust low.  These are too smoothed out but not going to go crazy.  I am sure I forgot someone I have conversed with recently but going off the top of my head, no offense.   I could have simply said 4-6" and covered most :-).

@canderson an interested observer just told me it is really 4.8"so changing my number

@Blizzard of 93  4.5"

@Itstrainingtime and @Mount Joy Snowman and other Lanco posters 5.3"

@DDweatherman 4.2"

@Chris78 4.0"

@pawatch 2.6"

@paweather 5"

@Bubbler86 4.2"

@AccuChris 5.1"

@mitchnick 4.2"

@Voyager 5.3"

@mahantango#1 4.1"

@WmsptWx 3.7"

@anotherman 4.4"

 

Solid numbers

I agree with you on my yard.

Nice call

1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

I can't stand the Lions lol. So glad they're out. Having to hear about a team all year who still has never been to a Super Bowl over and over and over all year long...

blah blah blah emotional intelligence… Blah blah blah the toughness how the coach rubs off on them in the big spots blah blah blah blah blah… Even with all the injuries on defense this team is still so good blah blah blah blah blah…

 

And then you turn it over five times! Turning them over five times has nothing to do with defense… They stink -they stink on ice!

 

Go Birds! It will be an honor to play this great Washington team if we can get by the Rams tomorrow and I think we do.

I cant tell. Do you like the Lions? 

33 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Happy for the WSH redskins / commanders fans who have waited for this. I’m a neutral fan but love to see this. Daniels is so much fun to watch. 

I was in middle school the last lime they were in the NFC championship game lol.

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

Amazing night.
Who is this town ?

Championship snow town

Wow! 

Go Commanders!

13 minutes ago, yoda said:

Double lulz

 

Pos model

Hell yeah! 

Let's go!

I f#cking hate the Euro

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

For 1/6, weren’t the GFS and euro in pretty good agreement for the last 48-72 hours? And GGEM/RGEM was way south? Saying just saying…

Rgem was way north.

It was giving me 12" 12 hours before the event. Realty was about 4"

Ukie was way south

Just now, DDweatherman said:

I think the crew up here is all good with the AIFS, UK, Icon, and even the 3k and gfs are easy 4-6” events 

Yep.

Screw the Euro.

4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

0z HRRR starting to get a clue. Still bad. But not running the low up the Shenandoah Valley anymore. 

I wouldn't even bother looking at that model lol.

Just awful for winter events.

Those big over running events the models had a week ago are all gone for the most part. Unless you live on the gulf coast. 

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

10:1

 

 

 

 

Euro sucks!

8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Yeah that’s what I was commenting on. Think their watch zone makes sense. 

Gotcha.

Sorry misunderstood.

Just now, WxUSAF said:

I want a watch, but think that zone makes sense. 

There up

Atleast for the northern zones

5 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

Those Kuchera ratios N Arlington posted are 16:1 to 18:1 out here.  

We know that ain't happening lol.

If we end up with .25 liquid I'm thinking 3 inches maybe at best.

I'm starting to think 3" is my bar.

I don't see the Canadians being correct.

Not after the 1/6 storm lol.

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

Right, and I am close to that 4" line.  I also think Kuch may be a tad high on the UK depict but not getting into that convo.  The point was it was not the 6-10" of the models in the "higher camp".  If forecasting just off the GFS, AI and Canadian the totals would need to be 6-10 I think. 

I think 3 to 5 would be a good call for us at this point just looking at all the available guidance and qpf amounts from the various models. Not buying the high totals from the Canadians.

Rgem had us getting a foot+  12 hours before the 1/6 storm and we know how that went.

Just now, Ji said:

there is a real chance that we score on every drive lol. Same with them

If Jayden has the ball in his hands at the end in a close game I'll take my chances.

1 minute ago, Ji said:

he is going to be in prime time like 8 times next year. All we need to do is have 16 play 90 yard drives...score every drive and keep them off the field. Hope Goff has a game like he did vs Houston

Is that it? Lol

Rgem was way too amped for the 1/6 storm.

Was giving me a foot 12 hours before the storm started along the M/D line 

I ended up with 4".

Probably over amped again.

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Man that's basically a cutter, lol Cut that one out of consideration 

Don't worry.  Euro will come in with a .1 qpf region wide

On 1/11/2025 at 8:11 AM, Chris78 said:

11/22 - .5"

12/15 - 1"

12/21 - .25

1/6 - 4.25"

1/10 - 1.0"

Seasonal total - 7"

1/16 - .5"

Seasonal total - 7.5"

21 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Arctic cold followed by a dang cutter to arctic cold again would hurt the feelings, lol

If we go snow to sleet to ZR that would be one heck of a mess with the artic air that will be in place mid week.

It's not some crap 40 degrees day waiting for the temp to drop.

The ground is frozen solid and isn't thawing out anytime soon.

Friday would be pretty nasty as depicted.

Light dusting  on the deck.