Chris78

Coming down pretty good right now along the M/D line In Washington County. 

Eyeballing closing in on 2 inches 

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

Im ready to punch the gfs. So frustrating

Gem looks pretty good

Congrats to everyone around the cities. Been a long time coming.

Up here in Washington County it's been a bit of an under performer so far as LWX noted in there evening update. Have just over an inch in currently with better rates the last 45 minutes or so.

5 minutes ago, TinGTown said:

Still no flakes in Georgetown (DC) for several hours.  It's now a misty rain. What are we to expect?

 

You must be on the tarmac at DCA where they do the official measurements 

Feels like a mid western day.

Snowed all day pretty much but only a half inch.

Patiently waiting on the heavier stuff for the northern and western crew

9 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

That dryslot to the west is real. Just reached here and it crushed the rates significantly it's all pixie dust now. Headed east on radar ...

The dry slot in the west has been well modeled for days now. Should start to fill in over the next few hours

Rates picking up in Smithsburg. Roads covered. About .5 so far

Very light snow here at work in Thurmont MD.

2 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Canadian better. Still plenty of time for the details to get worked out. 
 

Looks alot like the 12z Euro 

You never want to be on the southern edge. Ussually this bites us in the ass but this might be good for DC this time.

6 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

Thankfully we get in on some of the later action. Seems like a little weirder evolution, but it’s the NAM.

All the models have this  cut out between Cumberland and Hagerstown.  It's snowing west of us and East of us for hours.

Canadian on board for a light event for Friday. 1 to 3.

This feels like there could be some upside with minor tweaks.

Just now, CAPE said:

Still pissed they rescheduled the Buffalo game. That was my excuse to drink early.

Who needs an excuse? 

I don't hate this look.

Solid coating now.

31 degrees

Moderate snow now in Smithsburg 

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

6z euro control improved 

LFG. 2 to 4 on Tuesday. 3 to 5 on Friday.

Than a HECS in February. 

Its not 12z but I'd hit that

Just now, psuhoffman said:

about 1035 

Wow. I'm at about 750 and when I drive over the Catoctins it's doesn't take long till I see the difference as I go up in elevation. 

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I drive an hour to and from work everyday, I won't apologize for it!  The place I bought was on the market for like a year!  Any one of you could have got it...  Kidding not kidding.  I know its in jest but I suffer every work day for the few times a year I get more snow.  

Whats your elevation?

19 minutes ago, nj2va said:

18z Euro upped the ante vs 12z.  1-3” with slightly higher amounts in central/northern MD.

 

@psuhoffman will be posting pics of his kiddos building snowman from the "surprise" 6" he gets Tuesday Morning lol

12 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Whoa this might get close here, does it make the turn in time?!



.

You could see it early on. That southern Sw was much stronger this run.

6 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

I feel like kicking bunnies when I look at that pic. 

Low off south Carolina but snow west of us.

12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

No we saw that fail a few times. But never this close in!  Honestly when i realized this morning what the issue was and why the euro was doing what it was doing I had a suspicion it was right. It was opposite its two normal biases and it was due to resolved a very delicate play between two waves. That seemed something the better physics model was more likely to be resolving. But all the models seem to be too snowy in general. 
 

Im march 2018 every model showed me getting 6-10” 12 hours before the storm and I got nothing!  I remember a storm in 2007 where the NAM was on an island snowing no snow when everything else showed 3-6” the day before and the NAM won.  If anything shows a bad solution that’s the most likely one. And if everything shows snow they might all be wrong.  

You said a while back that snow is an anomaly in these parts. It's stuck with me and makes alot of sense.

3 minutes ago, mattie g said:

The Euro washed out after being the snowiest solution for 36-48 hours. No model has “won” as of yet and no model will when all is said and done.

The euro started its southward shift on Wednesday night and by Thursday 12z run had the solution it pretty much has now.

It could be wrong. Who knows but it took the other models 24 - 36 hours to catch up. Gem still trying to catch up lol.

Euro isn't always right but it's superior resolution is a difference maker in set ups like these . 

Now let's reverse the trend at 00z tonight and get some damn snow.