Chris78

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

fwiw… the days of the hits are

PD MECS (long duration 10-12”)

Mar 3-4 HECS (20-30 central VA, PSU fringed with 8”)

March 25 SECS (end of run, at least 6-8”)

how could a bad pattern produce that EPS Control run

I like this better than the control runs WW ussually posts. 

7 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Yeah, this is a PA/NY/SNE event. Let them have it. They need a morale boost

I've moved on to the PD weekend fail/ rainstorm.

Just now, nj2va said:

Is it spring yet? 

Winning lol

Just now, nj2va said:

For S&G

For real S&G post the entire 240 snowfall map lol

Just now, Ji said:

The gfs is just useless right now. America should be embarrassed

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

What if we get snow next Weekend? You could say the GFS sniffed it out first lol.

Gfs had it 3 or 4 runs in a roe a couple days ago 

1 minute ago, yoda said:

i66 is the 1" line.  EZF 3" line.  RIC 6" line.  Winners of 8-12" NC/VA border

I like it at this Range.

But I'm sure it will show something totally different at 12z tomorrow 

Just now, yoda said:

00z CMC is a snowstorm for EZF south for PD

Cmc looks pretty good. Gfs is a dumpster fire

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Rgem with the rouzerville/marysville snow hole through 84.  

Very meh. Not sure if we would get much after 84 but it sucks for our area

Rgem is meh

9 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

js out of curiosity are we not worried that nearly all of the gefs members having a storm for 2/24 have a predominant rain storm?

There's alot of above Normal 850s and 2m temps after day 10. No one is really talking about it but it certainly concerns me.

37 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Ends up being a relatively minor bump south on the snow mean… but better than nothing for sure

H5 looks alot better then ground truth unfortunately. 

1 minute ago, Ji said:

 

Looks tasty 

Just now, Ji said:

oh my gosh what happened to that guy? 

He pops in when the rug is pulled to troll

No doubt if the GFS caves it will be all in 1 run. It will move the low to Toledo and will be looking at 60 degrees lol

Edit - for the Valentines day storm

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Much like the OP… not a lot on the snow front but rather massive jump southward on the LP

12z EPS




6z EPS

Looks to be slower which I think is what we want

31 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Parts of Maine went from a foot plus to nothing on the Euro in a day. This is not an insignificant change. Of course, as we get closer there’s only so much change that is reasonably possible 

No where close to the final outcome. That was a big move by the Euro. One more like that and it would look alot like the GFS

46 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

There's putting a cart before the horse and then there's Ralph. Worrying about a storm destroying future storm chances in a disastrous winter does not compute anywhere in my head. Might need a crtl/alt/delete or something 

If I could lock in the 6z gfs and call it a winter after PD3 I'm in.

A SECS then a high end MECS.  All within a weeks time. 

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Are we cliff jumping because of… one op gfs run?

I'm more worried about suppression next Weekend lol. Definitely not an OV track

3 minutes ago, jayyy said:

lol far too much weenie nonsense going on right now over A SINGLE 200+ hour OP run. Calm the fuck down y’all. Did we expect the GFS to hold a massive snowstorm for 200+ hours? Ensembles, ensembles, ensembles at this range.

It’ll be back and gone again by tomorrow.

This

By next weekend we're cold enough to snow per the GEFS.

Idgaf about what the GfS says 11 days out lol.

Just looping the 24 hour precip panels on the Gefs it looks like we have southern stream waves on the 18/19, again on the 21st then another on the 23/24.

Maybe there's only 2 waves with timing differences but it looks like 3.  That's 3 chances in about 6 days to score something. 850s and 2m temps are below average during that stretch. 

Just need patience for a little longer.....

Eta- @brooklynwx99  and @Terpeast ninjaed me while I was typing.

But hey atleast I am seeing the same thing as 2 red taggers lol.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Can I unpin this shit yet? 

Close it and start another

Nice slug of moisture to our south. Definitely shows the potential. 

Huge hit

Gfs lining up pd3